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We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

In the process of building (structural learning) a probabilistic graphical model from a set of observed data, the directional, cyclic dependencies between the random variables of the model are often found. Existing graphical models such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Oleksii Sirotkin

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Exchangeable random graphs serve as an important probabilistic framework for the statistical analysis of network data. In this work we develop an alternative parameterization for a large class of exchangeable random graphs, where the nodes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Jing Lei

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

The exponential family of random graphs represents an important and challenging class of network models. Despite their flexibility, conventionally used exponential random graphs have one shortcoming. They cannot directly model weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Mei Yin

We review old and new uses of exchangeability, emphasizing the general theme of exchangeable representations of complex random structures. Illustrations of this theme include processes of stochastic coalescence and fragmentation; continuum…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-22 David J. Aldous

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

Daily internet communication relies heavily on tree-structured graphs, embodied by popular data formats such as XML and JSON. However, many recent generative (probabilistic) models utilize neural networks to learn a probability distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Milan Papež , Martin Rektoris , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

The past few years have seen intensive research efforts carried out in some apparently unrelated areas of dynamic systems -- delay-tolerant networks, opportunistic-mobility networks, social networks -- obtaining closely related insights.…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Arnaud Casteigts , Paola Flocchini , Walter Quattrociocchi , Nicola Santoro

Colouring the vertices of a graph $G$ according to certain conditions can be considered as a random experiment and a discrete random variable $X$ can be defined as the number of vertices having a particular colour in the proper colouring of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-06-09 N. K. Sudev , S. Satheesh , K. P. Chithra , Johan Kok

A natural representation of random graphs is the random measure. The collection of product random measures, their transformations, and non-negative test functions forms a general representation of the collection of non-negative weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Caleb Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

Graphical models in extremes have emerged as a diverse and quickly expanding research area in extremal dependence modeling. They allow for parsimonious statistical methodology and are particularly suited for enforcing sparsity in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Manuel Hentschel , Michaël Lalancette , Frank Röttger

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Graphical models have proven to be powerful tools for representing high-dimensional systems of random variables. One example of such a model is the undirected graph, in which lack of an edge represents conditional independence between two…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-11 Dhafer Malouche , Bala Rajaratnam , Benjamin T. Rolfs

Conditional independence, graphical models and sparsity are key notions for parsimonious statistical models and for understanding the structural relationships in the data. The theory of multivariate and spatial extremes describes the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Sebastian Engelke , Adrien S. Hitz

Conditional independence and graphical models are well studied for probability distributions on product spaces. We propose a new notion of conditional independence for any measure $\Lambda$ on the punctured Euclidean space $\mathbb…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Kirstin Strokorb

Graphs are commonly used to characterise interactions between objects of interest. Because they are based on a straightforward formalism, they are used in many scientific fields from computer science to historical sciences. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-24 Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

Graphs are widely used for modeling various types of interactions, such as email communications and online discussions. Many of such real-world graphs are temporal, and specifically, they grow over time with new nodes and edges. Counting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Deukryeol Yoon , Dongjin Lee , Minyoung Choe , Kijung Shin

Gaussian graphical models are parametric statistical models for jointly normal random variables whose dependence structure is determined by a graph. In previous work, we introduced trek separation, which gives a necessary and sufficient…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Jan Draisma , Seth Sullivant , Kelli Talaska