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In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

Estimating the number of communities is one of the fundamental problems in community detection. We re-examine the Bayesian paradigm for stochastic block models and propose a "corrected Bayesian information criterion",to determine the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Jianwei Hu , Hong Qin , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhao

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada

In statistical learning, models are classified as regular or singular depending on whether the mapping from parameters to probability distributions is injective. Most models with hierarchical structures or latent variables are singular, for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Naoki Hayashi , Takuro Kutsuna , Sawa Takamuku

The problem of model selection is considered for the setting of interpolating estimators, where the number of model parameters exceeds the size of the dataset. Classical information criteria typically consider the large-data limit,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Robert Salomone , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney

Simulation models for pedestrian crowds are a ubiquitous tool in research and industry. It is crucial that the parameters of these models are calibrated carefully and ultimately it will be of interest to compare competing models to decide…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Nikolai Bode

Using predictive adaptive arithmetic coding and the Minimum Description Length principle, we derive an efficient tool for model selection problems : the RIC information criterion. We then present an extension of these coding techniques to…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-05-23 Guilhem Coq , Olivier Alata , Marc Arnaudon , Christian Olivier

In the field of spatial data analysis, spatially varying coefficients (SVC) models, which allow regression coefficients to vary by region and flexibly capture spatial heterogeneity, have continued to be developed in various directions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Yuko Kakikawa , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

A central issue of many statistical learning problems is to select an appropriate model from a set of candidate models. Large models tend to inflate the variance (or overfitting), while small models tend to cause biases (or underfitting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Jie Ding , Enmao Diao , Jiawei Zhou , Vahid Tarokh

Double-descent refers to the unexpected drop in test loss of a learning algorithm beyond an interpolating threshold with over-parameterization, which is not predicted by information criteria in their classical forms due to the limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Haobo Chen , Yuheng Bu , Gregory W. Wornell

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an approach for sampling from an approximate posterior distribution in the presence of a computationally intractable likelihood function. A common implementation is based on simulating model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-16 D. Prangle , M. G. B. Blum , G. Popovic , S. A. Sisson

In the context of statistical learning, the Information Bottleneck method seeks a right balance between accuracy and generalization capability through a suitable tradeoff between compression complexity, measured by minimum description…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Mohammad Mahdi Mahvari , Mari Kobayashi , Abdellatif Zaidi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular computational method for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. The term "likelihood-free" refers to problems where the likelihood is intractable to compute or estimate directly, but where it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Stuart Barber , Jochen Voss , Mark Webster

We investigate the unsupervised node classification problem on random hypergraphs under the non-uniform Hypergraph Stochastic Block Model (HSBM) with two equal-sized communities. In this model, edges appear independently with probabilities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Hai-Xiao Wang

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

Classifiers based on probabilistic graphical models are very effective. In continuous domains, maximum likelihood is usually used to assess the predictions of those classifiers. When data is scarce, this can easily lead to overfitting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Victor Bellon , Jesus Cerquides , Ivo Grosse

The Fisher information approximation (FIA) is an implementation of the minimum description length principle for model selection. Unlike information criteria such as AIC or BIC, it has the advantage of taking the functional form of a model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Daniel W. Heck , Morten Moshagen , Edgar Erdfelder

Prior design is one of the most important problems in both statistics and machine learning. The cross validation (CV) and the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) are predictive measures of the Bayesian estimation, however, it has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-30 Sumio Watanabe

We give an overview of the role of information theory in statistics, and particularly in biostatistics. We recall the basic quantities in information theory; entropy, cross-entropy, conditional entropy, mutual information and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Daniel Commenges
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