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We study the first-passage dynamics of a non-Markovian stochastic process with time-averaged feedback, which we model as a one-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process wherein the particle drift is modified by the empirical mean of its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Francesco Coghi , Romain Duvezin , John S. Wettlaufer

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

Consider the linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) on $\mathbb{R}^n$: \[\mathrm {d}{X}_t=AX_t\,\mathrm{d}t+B\,\mathrm{d}L_t,\] where $A$ is a real $n\times n$ matrix, $B$ is a real $n\times d$ real matrix and $L_t$ is a L\'{e}vy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Feng-Yu Wang

We characterise the nonequilibrium stationary state of a generic multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving $N$ degrees of freedom. The irreversibility of the process is encoded in the antisymmetric part of the Onsager matrix. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-19 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We provide asymptotic results and develop high frequency statistical procedures for time-changed L\'evy processes sampled at random instants. The sampling times are given by first hitting times of symmetric barriers whose distance with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Peter Tankov

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

We study an open-boundary version of the on-off zero-range process introduced in Hirschberg et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 090602 (2009)]. This model includes temporal correlations which can promote the condensation of particles, a situation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-25 Massimo Cavallaro , Raúl J. Mondragón , Rosemary J. Harris

We demonstrate how electric fields with arbitrary time profile can be used to control the time-dependent parameters of spin and orbital exchange Hamiltonians. Analytic expressions for the exchange constants are derived from a time-dependent…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2017-03-10 Martin Eckstein , Johan H. Mentink , Philipp Werner

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

A variational principle is developed for fractional kinetics based on the auxiliary-field formalism. It is applied to the Fokker-Planck equation with spatio-temporal fractionality, and a variational solution is obtained with the help of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Sumiyoshi Abe

We present a low-space overhead simulation algorithm based on the truncated Dyson series for time-dependent quantum dynamics. This algorithm is applied to simulating time-independent Hamiltonians by transitioning to the interaction picture,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-07 Guang Hao Low , Nathan Wiebe

The reduction of a continuous Markov process with multiple metastable states to a discrete rate process is investigated in the presence of slow time dependent parameters such as periodic external forces or slowly fluctuating barrier…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Peter Talkner , Jerzy Luczka

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

There exists a wide literature on modelling strongly dependent time series using a longmemory parameter d, including more recent work on semiparametric wavelet estimation. As a generalization of these latter approaches, in this work we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Aria Ahari , Larbi Alili , Massimiliano Tamborrino

In this paper, we establish the existence of moments and moment estimates for L\'evy-type processes. We discuss whether the existence of moments is a time dependent distributional property, give sufficient conditions for the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-09 Franziska Kühn

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang