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Deep hedging uses recurrent neural networks to hedge financial products that cannot be fully hedged in incomplete markets. Previous work in this area focuses on minimizing some measure of quadratic hedging error by calculating pathwise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Alok Das , Kiseop Lee

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

This thesis develops a mathematical framework for the analysis of continuous-time trading strategies which, in contrast to the classical setting of continuous-time finance, does not rely on stochastic integrals or other probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Candia Riga

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

Models to price long term loans in the securities lending business are developed. These longer horizon deals can be viewed as contracts with optionality embedded in them. This insight leads to the usage of established methods from…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-29 Ravi Kashyap

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel

This paper discusses the practical use of the saddle variational formulation for the weakly-constrained 4D-VAR method in data assimilation. It is shown that the method, in its original form, may produce erratic results or diverge because of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 S. Gratton , S. Gürol , E. Simon , Ph. L. Toint

A previously published algorithm for trajectory tracking control of tethered wings, i.e. kites, is updated in light of recent experimental evidence. The algorithm is, furthermore, analyzed in the framework of delay differential equations.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-01-01 Jorn H. Baayen

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

Epistemic uncertainty quantification is a crucial part of drawing credible conclusions from predictive models, whether concerned about the prediction at a given point or any downstream evaluation that uses the model as input. When the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Nathan Kallus , James McInerney

This paper introduces Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2). BART can produce accurate individual-specific treatment effect estimates. However, in practice estimates are often biased by sample selection. We extend the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Eoghan O'Neill

We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent risk measures) whose scenario sets consist of singular measures corresponding to a general form of volatility uncertainty. We derive a c\`adl\`ag nonlinear…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Marcel Nutz , H. Mete Soner

Extending Buehler et al.'s 2019 Deep Hedging paradigm, we innovatively employ deep neural networks to parameterize convex-risk minimization (CVaR/ES) for the portfolio tail-risk hedging problem. Through comprehensive numerical experiments…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Yuming Ma

Information security properties of reactive systems like non-interference often require relating different executions of the system to each other and following them simultaneously. Such hyperproperties can also be useful in other contexts,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Jens Oliver Gutsfeld , Markus Müller-Olm , Christoph Ohrem

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the two-parameter Beta distributions seen from the perspective of second-order stochastic dominance. By changing its parameters through a bijective mapping, we work with a bounded subset D instead of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Yann Braouezec , John Cagnol

This paper explores the application of deep Q-learning to hedging at-the-money options on the S\&P~500 index. We develop an agent based on the Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) algorithm, trained to simulate hedging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Zofia Bracha , Paweł Sakowski , Jakub Michańków

\begin{abstract} In this paper, we integrated the statistical arbitrage strategy, pairs trading, into the Black-Litterman model and constructed efficient mean-variance portfolios. Typically, pairs trading underperforms under volatile or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-12 Qiqin Zhou

Can an asset manager plan the optimal timing for her/his hedging strategies given market conditions? The standard approach based on Markowitz or other more or less sophisticated financial rules aims to find the best portfolio allocation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Sandrine Ungari , Abhishek Mukhopadhyay

There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-03 Rudra P. Jena , Peter Tankov

The paper introduces and studies hedging for game (Israeli) style extension of swing options considered as multiple exercise derivatives. Assuming that the underlying security can be traded without restrictions we derive a formula for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-21 Y. Dolinsky , Y. Iron , Y. Kifer