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In this paper, we develop a general law of large numbers and central limit theorem for cumulative reward processes associated with finite state Markov jump processes with non-stationary transition rates. Such models commonly arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Monte Fischer , Peter W. Glynn

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

The paper investigates properties of generalized Hermite-type processes that arise in non-central limit theorems for integral functionals of long-range dependent random fields. The case of increasing multidimensional domain asymptotics is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Illia Donhauzer , Andriy Olenko

We prove the Local Limit Theorems for bounded additive functionals of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov arrays. As an application we obtain the precise asymptotics in the large deviation regime for bounded additive functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Omri Sarig

Two adaptive bandwidth selection methods for nonparametric estimators in locally stationary processes are proposed. We investigate a cross validation approach and a method based on contrast minimization and derive asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-28 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter

In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

Assume that a stochastic processes can be approximated, when some scale parameter gets large, by a fluid limit (also called "mean field limit", or "hydrodynamic limit"). A common practice, often called the "fixed point approximation"…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Jean-Yves Le Boudec

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

The nonlinear Markov processes are the measure-valued dynamical systems which preserve positivity. They can be represented as the law of large numbers limits of general Markov models of interacting particles. In physics, the kinetic…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-28 A. N. Gorban , V. N. Kolokoltsov

In this paper we prove the Poisson Hypothesis for the limiting behavior of the large queueing systems in some simple ("mean-field") cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical systems, defined by the non-linear Markov…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Rybko , Senya Shlosman

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper we survey the almost sure central limit theorem and its functional form (quenched) for stationary and ergodic processes. For additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain these theorems are known under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Magda Peligrad

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

We show that the existence of a martingale approximation of a stationary process depends on the choice of the filtration. There exists a stationary linear process which has a martingale approximation with respect to the natural filtration,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-13 Hervé Queffélec , Dalibor Volný

Motivated by the Central Limit Theorem, in this paper, we study both universal and non-universal simulations of random variables with an arbitrary target distribution $Q_{Y}$ by general mappings, not limited to linear ones (as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Lei Yu

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

Motivated by recent experiments we consider a stochastic lineshape theory for the case when the underlying process obeys power-law statistics, based on a generalized Anderson-Kubo oscillator model. We derive an analytical expression for the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 YounJoon Jung , Eli Barkai , Robert J. Silbey

We study an extended dynamical system on the non-negative real line with piecewise linear non-uniformly expanding local dynamics. With a uniformly distributed initial state, the distribution of successive states coincides with that of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Juho Leppänen