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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

The typical approach for recovery of spatially correlated signals is regularized least squares with a coupled regularization term. In the Bayesian framework, this algorithm is seen as a maximum-a-posterior estimator whose postulated prior…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Ali Bereyhi , Saeid Haghighatshoar , Ralf R. Müller

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies enable the collection of high-frequency self-reports of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STBs) via smartphones. Latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a promising model class for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Malinda Lu , Yue-Jane Liu , Matthew K. Nock , Yaniv Yacoby

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe the time evolution of natural phenomena across various scientific fields. Estimating the parameters of these systems from data is a challenging task, particularly when…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-23 S. Syafiie , Aries Subiantoro , Vivi Andasari , Fernando Tadeo

We propose and analyze a posteriori error estimators for an optimal control problem that involves an elliptic partial differential equation as state equation and a control variable that enters the state equation as a coefficient; pointwise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Francisco Fuica , Enrique Otarola

In unconstrained maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood estimation, the inverse of minus the merit-function Hessian matrix is an approximation of the estimate covariance matrix. In the Bayesian context of MAP estimation, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We study parameter estimation for univariate stochastic differential equations with locally Lipschitz drift and H\"older continuous multiplicative diffusion, a class commonly arising in several applications. Existing inference methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Bowen Fang , Dario Spanò , Massimiliano Tamborrino

Many Bayesian statistical inference problems come down to computing a maximum a-posteriori (MAP) assignment of latent variables. Yet, standard methods for estimating the MAP assignment do not have a finite time guarantee that the algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Harsh Vardhan Dubey , Ji Ah Lee , Patrick Flaherty

Maximum a Posteriori assignment (MAP) is the problem of finding the most probable instantiation of a set of variables given the partial evidence on the other variables in a Bayesian network. MAP has been shown to be a NP-hard problem [22],…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Changhe Yuan , Tsai-Ching Lu , Marek J. Druzdzel

The maximum likelihood (ML) and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation techniques are widely used to address the direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation problems, an important topic in sensor array processing. Conventionally the ML estimators…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Xin Zhang , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Marius Pesavento

In two and three dimensional Lipschitz, but not necessarily convex, polytopal domains, we propose and analyze a posteriori error estimators for an optimal control problem involving the stationary Navier--Stokes equations; control…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alejandro Allendes , Francisco Fuica , Enrique Otarola , Daniel Quero

Using a Bayesian methodology, we introduce the maximum a posteriori~(MAP) estimator for quantum state and process tomography. The maximum likelihood, hedged maximum likelihood, maximum likelihood-maximum entropy estimator, and estimators of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-01-29 Vikesh Siddhu

In this work, we address the problem of estimating sparse communication channels in OFDM systems in the presence of carrier frequency offset (CFO) and unknown noise variance. To this end, we consider a convex optimization problem, including…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-15 Rodrigo Carvajal , Boris I. Godoy , Juan C. Agüero

A classical problem in digital communications is to evaluate the symbol error probability (SEP) and bit error probability (BEP) of a multidimensional constellation over an additive white Gaussian noise channel. In this paper, we revisit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Alex Alvarado , Erik Agrell , Fredrik Brännström

We consider numerical approximations of stochastic differential equations by the Euler method. In the case where the SDE is elliptic or hypoelliptic, we show a weak backward error analysis result in the sense that the generator associated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-05-04 Arnaud Debussche , Erwan Faou

The problem of system identification for the Kalman filter, relying on the expectation-maximization (EM) procedure to learn the underlying parameters of a dynamical system, has largely been studied assuming that observations are sampled at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Halmos , Jonathan Pillow , David A. Knowles

In this article we develop function-based a posteriori error estimators for the solution of linear second order elliptic problems considering hierarchical spline spaces for the Galerkin discretization. We prove a global upper bound for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Annalisa Buffa , Eduardo M. Garau

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham