Related papers: Joint Maximum a Posteriori State Path and Paramete…
Dynamic state and parameter estimation (DSE) plays a key role for reliably monitoring and operating future, power-electronics-dominated power systems. While DSE is a very active research field, experimental applications of proposed…
This paper tackles the problem of jointly estimating the noise covariance matrix alongside states (parameters such as poses and points) from measurements corrupted by Gaussian noise and, if available, prior information. In such settings,…
Estimation of parameters is a crucial part of model development. When models are deterministic, one can minimise the fitting error; for stochastic systems one must be more careful. Broadly parameterisation methods for stochastic dynamical…
This paper is concerned with the problem of state estimation for discrete-time linear systems in the presence of additional (equality or inequality) constraints on the state (or estimate). By use of the minimum variance duality, the…
The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…
Distribution system state estimation (DSSE) is an essential tool for operation of distribution networks, the results of which enables the operator to have a thorough observation of the system. Thus, most distribution management systems…
Motivated by the increasing popularity of overparameterized Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) like Neural SDEs, Wang, Blanchet and Glynn recently introduced the generator gradient estimator, a novel unbiased stochastic gradient…
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…
We develop the method of stochastic modified equations (SME), in which stochastic gradient algorithms are approximated in the weak sense by continuous-time stochastic differential equations. We exploit the continuous formulation together…
We present a numerical method for computing optimal transition pathways and transition rates in systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In particular, we compute the most probable transition path of stochastic equations by…
Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…
The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…
We consider the problem of estimating a random state vector when there is information about the maximum distances between its subvectors. The estimation problem is posed in a Bayesian framework in which the minimum mean square error (MMSE)…
The stochastic motions of a diffusing particle contain information concerning the particle's interactions with binding partners and with its local environment. However, accurate determination of the underlying diffusive properties, beyond…
Modern autonomous systems are purposed for many challenging scenarios, where agents will face unexpected events and complicated tasks. The presence of disturbance noise with control command and unknown inputs can negatively impact robot…
This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…
We consider a linear elliptic partial differential equation (PDE) with a generic uniformly bounded parametric coefficient. The solution to this PDE problem is approximated in the framework of stochastic Galerkin finite element methods. We…
In this letter, we employ and design the expectation--conditional maximization either (ECME) algorithm, a generalisation of the EM algorithm, for solving the maximum likelihood direction finding problem of stochastic sources, which may be…
Estimators derived from a divergence criterion such as $\varphi-$divergences are generally more robust than the maximum likelihood ones. We are interested in particular in the so-called MD$\varphi$DE, an estimator built using a dual…
We present an optimization-based method for the joint estimation of system parameters and noise covariances of linear time-variant systems. Given measured data, this method maximizes the likelihood of the parameters. We solve the…