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Recent developments in extreme value statistics have established the so-called geometric approach as a powerful modelling tool for multivariate extremes. We tailor these methods to the case of spatial modelling and examine their efficacy at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lydia Kakampakou , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Information theoretic quantities play an important role in various settings in machine learning, including causality testing, structure inference in graphical models, time-series problems, feature selection as well as in providing privacy…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Arman Rahimzamani , Himanshu Asnani , Pramod Viswanath , Sreeram Kannan

All multivariate extensions of the univariate theory of risk measurement run into the same fundamental problem of the absence, in dimension d > 1, of a canonical ordering of Rd. Based on measure transportation ideas, several attempts have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Jan Beirlant , Sven Buitendag , Eustasio del Bario , Marc Hallin

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Expectile regression is a nice tool for investigating conditional distributions beyond the conditional mean. It is well-known that expectiles can be described with the help of the asymmetric least square loss function, and this link makes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-15 Muhammad Farooq , Ingo Steinwart

The main objective of this work is to calculate the multivariate double truncated expectation (MDTE) and covariance (MDTCov) for elliptical distributions. We also consider double truncated expectation (DTE) and variance (DTV) for univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin

We propose an integral geometric approach for computing dual distributions for the parameter distributions of multilinear models. The dual distributions can be computed from, for example, the parameter distributions of conics, multiple view…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Sami Sebastian Brandt

Mixed effect modeling for longitudinal data is challenging when the observed data are random objects, which are complex data taking values in a general metric space without linear structure. In such settings the classical additive error…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-13 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Hans-Georg Müller

In this paper we present a general convex optimization approach for solving high-dimensional multiple response tensor regression problems under low-dimensional structural assumptions. We consider using convex and weakly decomposable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-17 Garvesh Raskutti , Ming Yuan , Han Chen

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

Optimal statistical decisions should transcend the language used to describe them. Yet, how do we guarantee that the choice of coordinates - the parameterisation of an optimisation problem - does not subtly dictate the solution? This paper…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 William Cook

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

This paper presents a unified geometric framework for the statistical analysis of a general ill-posed linear inverse model which includes as special cases noisy compressed sensing, sign vector recovery, trace regression, orthogonal matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 T. Tony Cai , Tengyuan Liang , Alexander Rakhlin

Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

Linear optimization problems are investigated whose parameters are uncertain. We apply coherent distortion risk measures to capture the possible violation of a restriction. Each risk constraint induces an uncertainty set of coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Karl Mosler , Pavel Bazovkin

Multivariate functions encountered in high-dimensional uncertainty quantification problems often vary most strongly along a few dominant directions in the input parameter space. We propose a gradient-based method for detecting these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Olivier Zahm , Paul Constantine , Clémentine Prieur , Youssef Marzouk

Reduced-rank regression is a dimensionality reduction method with many applications. The asymptotic theory for reduced rank estimators of parameter matrices in multivariate linear models has been studied extensively. In contrast, few…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Efstathia Bura , Sabrina Duarte , Liliana Forzani , Ezequiel Smucler , Mariela Sued

We derive explicit formulae for the expected volume and the expected number of facets of the convex hull of several multidimensional Gaussian random walks in terms of the Gaussian persistence probabilities. Special cases include the already…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Julien Randon-Furling , Dmitry Zaporozhets

We study the problem of modeling univariate distributions via their quantile functions. We introduce a flexible family of distributions whose quantile function is a linear combination of basis quantiles. Because the model is linear in its…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Cheng Peng , Yizhou Li , Stan Uryasev

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji