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By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In this paper, we present the optimization formulation of the Kalman filtering and smoothing problems, and use this perspective to develop a variety of extensions and applications. We first formulate classic Kalman smoothing as a least…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

Testing procedures for assessing specific parametric model forms, or for checking the plausibility of simplifying assumptions, play a central role in the mathematical treatment of the uncertain. No certain answers are obtained by testing…

In quantum mechanics, wave functions and density matrices represent our knowledge about a quantum system and give probabilities for the outcomes of measurements. If the combined dynamics and measurements on a system lead to a density matrix…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-12-07 D. Tan , M. Naghiloo , K. Mølmer , K. W. Murch

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

One of the most common misconceptions made about the Kalman filter when applied to linear systems is that it requires an assumption that all error and noise processes are Gaussian. This misconception has frequently led to the Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Jeffrey Uhlmann , Simon Julier

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

This paper introduces a novel Kalman filter framework designed to achieve robust state estimation under both process and measurement noise. Inspired by the Weighted Observation Likelihood Filter (WoLF), which provides robustness against…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Weitao Liu

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the state of a dynamic state-space system where the output is subject to quantization. We compare some classical approaches and a new development in the literature to obtain the filtering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-16 Angel L. Cedeño , Ricardo Albornoz , Boris I. Godoy , Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero

We consider the problem of computing the satisfaction probability of a formula for stochastic models with parametric uncertainty. We show that this satisfaction probability is a smooth function of the model parameters. This enables us to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Luca Bortolussi , Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti

An important objective of the classical processing of stationary random sequences under nonparametric uncertainty is the problem of filtering in case when the distribution of the underlying signal is unknown. In this paper it is assumed…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 L. A. Markovich

Uncertainty relations are old, yet potentially rewarding to explore. By introducing a quantity called the uncertainty matrix, we provide a link between purity and observable incompatibility, and derive several stronger uncertainty relations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-07-02 Chiranjib Mukhopadhyay , Arun Kumar Pati

Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Sanket Kamthe , Jan Peters , Marc P Deisenroth

Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-21 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

In this paper, we revisit the Kalman filter theory. After giving the intuition on a simplified financial markets example, we revisit the maths underlying it. We then show that Kalman filter can be presented in a very different fashion using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-14 Eric Benhamou