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Polytrees are a subclass of Bayesian networks that seek to capture the conditional dependencies between a set of $n$ variables as a directed forest and are motivated by their more efficient inference and improved interpretability. Since the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Juha Harviainen , Frank Sommer , Manuel Sorge

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

The Jacobi prior offers an alternative Bayesian framework, designed to achieve superior computational efficiency without compromising predictive performance. Compared to widely used methods such as Lasso, Ridge, Elastic Net, uniLasso, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Sourish Das , Shouvik Sardar

It is shown that the first-order term of the asymptotic bias of the posterior mean is removed by a suitable choice of a prior density. In regular statistical models including exponential families, and linear and logistic regression models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Miyata Yoichi , Yanagimoto Takemi

While the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework offers an elegant solution to the problem of decision making under uncertainty, one question is how to appropriately select the prior distribution. One idea is to employ a worst-case prior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Thomas Kleine Buening , Christos Dimitrakakis , Hannes Eriksson , Divya Grover , Emilio Jorge

Variational methods that rely on a recognition network to approximate the posterior of directed graphical models offer better inference and learning than previous methods. Recent advances that exploit the capacity and flexibility in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 R Devon Hjelm , Kyunghyun Cho , Junyoung Chung , Russ Salakhutdinov , Vince Calhoun , Nebojsa Jojic

In this paper we propose to make Bayesian inferences for the parameters of the Lomax distribution using non-informative priors, namely the Jeffreys prior and the reference prior. We assess Bayesian estimation through a Monte Carlo study…

Adding domain knowledge to a learning system is known to improve results. In multi-parameter Bayesian frameworks, such knowledge is incorporated as a prior. On the other hand, various model parameters can have different learning rates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sareh Nabi , Houssam Nassif , Joseph Hong , Hamed Mamani , Guido Imbens

In this paper we introduce objective proper prior distributions for hypothesis testing and model selection based on measures of divergence between the competing models; we call them divergence based (DB) priors. DB priors have simple forms…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-27 M. J. Bayarri , G. García-Donato

While diffusion priors generate high-quality posterior samples across many inverse problems, they are often trained on limited training sets or purely simulated data, thus inheriting the errors and biases of these underlying sources.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Frederic Wang , Katherine L. Bouman

Machine unlearning refers to the task of removing a subset of training data, thereby removing its contributions to a trained model. Approximate unlearning are one class of methods for this task which avoid the need to retrain the model from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Ambrish Rawat , James Requeima , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard Turner

Bayesian neural networks often approximate the weight-posterior with a Gaussian distribution. However, practical posteriors are often, even locally, highly non-Gaussian, and empirical performance deteriorates. We propose a simple parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Federico Bergamin , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Søren Hauberg , Georgios Arvanitidis

Bayesian Reinforcement Learning (RL) is capable of not only incorporating domain knowledge, but also solving the exploration-exploitation dilemma in a natural way. As Bayesian RL is intractable except for special cases, previous work has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-14 Kenji Kawaguchi , Mauricio Araya

We report the application of implicit likelihood inference to the prediction of the macro-parameters of strong lensing systems with neural networks. This allows us to perform deep learning analysis of lensing systems within a well-defined…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Ronan Legin , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , Benjamin Wandelt

While the majority of today's object class models provide only 2D bounding boxes, far richer output hypotheses are desirable including viewpoint, fine-grained category, and 3D geometry estimate. However, models trained to provide richer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Bojan Pepik , Michael Stark , Peter Gehler , Bernt Schiele

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Bayesian model comparison requires the specification of a prior distribution on the parameter space of each candidate model. In this connection two concerns arise: on the one hand the elicitation task rapidly becomes prohibitive as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-16 Guido Consonni , Piero Veronese

The Rician distribution, a well-known statistical distribution frequently encountered in fields like magnetic resonance imaging and wireless communications, is particularly useful for describing many real phenomena such as signal process…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jesus Enrique Achire Quispe , Eduardo Ramos , Pedro Luiz Ramos

State-of-the-art deep-learning systems use decision rules that are challenging for humans to model. Explainable AI (XAI) attempts to improve human understanding but rarely accounts for how people typically reason about unfamiliar agents. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Wai Keen Vong , Ravi B. Sojitra , Tomas Folke , Patrick Shafto

We introduce the ``Sequential Empirical Bayes Method'', an adaptive constrained-curve fitting procedure for extracting reliable priors. These are then used in standard augmented-chi-square fits on separate data. This better stabilizes fits…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 Terrence Draper , Shao-Jing Dong , Ivan Horvath , Frank Lee , Nilmani Mathur , Jianbo Zhang