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To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

In this paper we investigate the performance of a variety of estimation techniques for the scale and shape parameter of the Lomax distribution. These methods include traditional methods such as the maximum likelihood estimator and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Thobeka Nombebe , James Allison , Leonard Santana , Jaco Visagie

We consider the problem of estimating the unconditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure resulting from first selecting a model (e.g., by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-08 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Poetscher

Many common Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) kernels can be formulated using a deterministic involutive proposal with a step size parameter. Selecting an appropriate step size is often a challenging task in practice; and for complex…

Parametric high-dimensional regression analysis requires the usage of regularization terms to get interpretable models. The respective estimators can be regarded as regularized M-functionals which are naturally highly nonlinear. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Tino Werner

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the jump rate and the cumulative rate for a general class of non-homogeneous marked renewal processes, defined on a separable metric space. In our framework, the estimation needs only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

In high-dimensional data analysis, bi-level sparsity is often assumed when covariates function group-wisely and sparsity can appear either at the group level or within certain groups. In such cases, an ideal model should be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Bin Luo , Xiaoli Gao

We provide a unified approach to MM-estimation with auxiliary scale for balanced linear models with structured covariance matrices. This approach leads to estimators that are highly robust against outliers and highly efficient for normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaa

We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized $M$-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

This paper considers the problem of estimating the population spectral distribution from a sample covariance matrix in large dimensional situations. We generalize the contour-integral based method in Mestre (2008) and present a local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Weiming Li , Jianfeng Yao

This paper develops robust confidence intervals in high-dimensional and left-censored regression. Type-I censored regression models are extremely common in practice, where a competing event makes the variable of interest unobservable.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Jelena Bradic , Jiaqi Guo

We introduce a new estimator SMUCE (simultaneous multiscale change-point estimator) for the change-point problem in exponential family regression. An unknown step function is estimated by minimizing the number of change-points over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Klaus Frick , Axel Munk , Hannes Sieling

Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

Diffusion inversion aims to recover the initial noise corresponding to a given image such that this noise can reconstruct the original image through the denoising diffusion process. The key component of diffusion inversion is to minimize…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Yifei Chen , Kaiyu Song , Yan Pan , Jianxing Yu , Jian Yin , Hanjiang Lai

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou
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