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This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

The proliferation of malware variants poses a significant challenges to traditional malware detection approaches, such as signature-based methods, necessitating the development of advanced machine learning techniques. In this research, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ritik Mehta , Olha Jureckova , Mark Stamp

A statistical model is a mathematical representation of an often simplified or idealised data-generating process. In this paper, we focus on a particular type of statistical model, called linear mixed models (LMMs), that is widely used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-23 Emi Tanaka , Francis K. C. Hui

Multiplicative mixed models can be applied in a wide range of scientific disciplines, since they are relevant in every situation where an interaction between a fixed effect and a random effect is present. Until now, no R package has been…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-05 Sofie Pødenphant , Kasper Kristensen , Per B. Brockhoff

We describe the \proglang{R} package \pkg{glmmrBase} and an extension \pkg{glmmrOptim}. \pkg{glmmrBase} provides a flexible approach to specifying, fitting, and analysing generalised linear mixed models. We use an object-orientated class…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-15 Samuel I. Watson

Background: Biomedical data are usually collections of longitudinal data assessed at certain points in time. Clinical observations assess the presences and severity of symptoms, which are the basis for description and modeling of disease…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Richard Fechner , Jens Dörpinghaus , Robert Rockenfeller , Jennifer Faber

The Stochastic Block Model (SBM) is a popular probabilistic model for random graphs. It is commonly used for clustering network data by aggregating nodes that share similar connectivity patterns into blocks. When fitting an SBM to a network…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-28 Pierre Barbillon , Julien Chiquet , Timothée Tabouy

We show how Markov mixed membership models (MMMM) can be used to predict the degradation of assets. We model the degradation path of individual assets, to predict overall failure rates. Instead of a separate distribution for each hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Paul Hofmann , Zaid Tashman

1. Electronic telemetry is frequently used to document animal movement through time. Methods that can identify underlying behaviors driving specific movement patterns can help us understand how and why animals use available space, thereby…

We present a new algorithm for discovering patterns in time series and other sequential data. We exhibit a reliable procedure for building the minimal set of hidden, Markovian states that is statistically capable of producing the behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

We propose a copula-based extension of the hidden Markov model (HMM) which applies when the observations recorded at each time in the sample are multivariate. The joint model produced by the copula extension allows decoding of the hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Robert Zimmerman , Radu V. Craiu , Vianey Leos-Barajas

Growth curve models are popular tools for studying the development of a response variable within subjects over time. Heterogeneity between subjects is common in such models, and researchers are typically interested in explaining or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Marjolein Fokkema , Achim Zeileis

We develop a latent variable model and an efficient spectral algorithm motivated by the recent emergence of very large data sets of chromatin marks from multiple human cell types. A natural model for chromatin data in one cell type is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-09 Chicheng Zhang , Jimin Song , Kevin C Chen , Kamalika Chaudhuri

A goal of clinical researchers is to understand the progression of a disease through a set of biomarkers. Researchers often conduct observational studies, where they collect numerous samples from selected subjects throughout multiple years.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Bum Chul Kwon

Finite mixture models have been widely used to model and analyze data from a heterogeneous populations. Moreover, data of this kind can be missing or subject to some upper and/or lower detection limits because of the restriction of…

The analysis of mixed data has been raising challenges in statistics and machine learning. One of two most prominent challenges is to develop new statistical techniques and methodologies to effectively handle mixed data by making the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-21 Tu Dinh Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Svetha Venkatesh

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely used statistical models for modeling sequential data. The parameter estimation for HMMs from time series data is an important learning problem. The predominant methods for parameter estimation are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-30 Carl Mattfeld

We test the robustness of a maximum-likelihood (ML) based classifier where sequential data as observation is corrupted by noise. The hypothesis is that a generative model, that combines the state transitions of a hidden Markov model (HMM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Anubhab Ghosh , Antoine Honoré , Dong Liu , Gustav Eje Henter , Saikat Chatterjee
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