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Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy, and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behavior, such as retaliation. Serious crimes may also be presaged by minor crimes of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Alex Reinhart , Joel Greenhouse

A Gaussian process is proposed as a model for the posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of a model or expert, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the form of log predictive scores. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

This is the second of two papers on the end-to-end distance of a weakly self-repelling walk on a four dimensional hierarchical lattice. It completes the proof that the expected value grows as a constant times \sqrt{T} log^{1/8}T (1+O((log…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-09-07 David C. Brydges , John Z. Imbrie

Relevant research has been highlighted in the computing community to develop machine learning models capable of predicting the occurrence of crimes, analyzing contexts of crimes, extracting profiles of individuals linked to crime, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-23 José Ribeiro , Lair Meneses , Denis Costa , Wando Miranda , Ronnie Alves

To ensure the security of the general mass, crime prevention is one of the most higher priorities for any government. An accurate crime prediction model can help the government, law enforcement to prevent violence, detect the criminals in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Md. Aminur Rab Ratul

Self-exciting point processes are widely used to model the contagious effects of crime events living within continuous geographic space, using their occurrence time and locations. However, in urban environments, most events are naturally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zheng Dong , Jorge Mateu , Yao Xie

Traffic accidents pose a significant threat to public safety, resulting in numerous fatalities, injuries, and a substantial economic burden each year. The development of predictive models capable of real-time forecasting of post-accident…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Pouyan Sajadi , Mahya Qorbani , Sobhan Moosavi , Erfan Hassannayebi

This paper focuses on finding spatial and temporal criminal hotspots. It analyses two different real-world crimes datasets for Denver, CO and Los Angeles, CA and provides a comparison between the two datasets through a statistical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Tahani Almanie , Rsha Mirza , Elizabeth Lor

Predictive modeling of criminal recidivism, or whether people will re-offend in the future, has a long and contentious history. Modern causal inference methods allow us to move beyond prediction and target the "treatment effect" of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Vik Shirvaikar , Choudur Lakshminarayan

We compare two methods of eigen-inference from large sets of data, based on the analysis of one-point and two-point Green's functions, respectively. Our analysis points at the superiority of eigen-inference based on one-point Green's…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-31 Zbigniew Drogosz , Jerzy Jurkiewicz , Grzegorz Łukaszewski , Maciej A. Nowak

This paper concerns the numerical simulation of time domain inverse acoustic scattering problems with a point-like scatterer, multiple point-like scatterers or normal size scatterers. Based on the Green's function and the application of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Qingqing Yu , Bo Chen , Jiaru Wang , Yao Sun

We propose a randomized greedy search algorithm to find a point estimate for a random partition based on a loss function and posterior Monte Carlo samples. Given the large size and awkward discrete nature of the search space, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 David B. Dahl , Devin J. Johnson , Peter Mueller

The Green's function method has applications in several fields in Physics, from classical differential equations to quantum many-body problems. In the quantum context, Green's functions are correlation functions, from which it is possible…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-10-14 Mariana M. Odashima , Beatriz G. Prado , E. Vernek

Finding the factors contributing to criminal activities and their consequences is essential to improve quantitative crime research. To respond to this concern, we examine an extensive set of features from different perspectives and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Fateha Khanam Bappee , Lucas May Petry , Amilcar Soares , Stan Matwin

Crime is an unlawful act that carries legal repercussions. Bangladesh has a high crime rate due to poverty, population growth, and many other socio-economic issues. For law enforcement agencies, understanding crime patterns is essential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Faisal Tareque Shohan , Abu Ubaida Akash , Muhammad Ibrahim , Mohammad Shafiul Alam

Multi-behavior recommendation predicts items a user may purchase by analyzing diverse behaviors like viewing, adding to a cart, and purchasing. Existing methods fall into two categories: representation learning and graph ranking.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Geonwoo Ko , Minseo Jeon , Jinhong Jung

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

There are ongoing discussions about predictive policing systems, such as those deployed in Los Angeles, California and Baltimore, Maryland, being unfair, for example, by exhibiting racial bias. Studies found that unfairness may be due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Samin Semsar , Kiran Laxmikant Prabhu , Gabriella Waters , James Foulds

Recent work has shown that reinforcement learning agents can develop policies that exploit spurious correlations between rewards and observations. This phenomenon, known as policy confounding, arises because the agent's policy influences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Miguel Suau