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Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

Efforts to reconstruct phylogenetic trees and understand evolutionary processes depend fundamentally on stochastic models of speciation and mutation. The simplest continuous-time model for speciation in phylogenetic trees is the Yule…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-18 Willem H. Mulder , Forrest W. Crawford

The evolution of molecular and phenotypic traits is commonly modelled using Markov processes along a phylogeny. This phylogeny can be a tree, or a network if it includes reticulations, representing events such as hybridization or admixture.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-28 Benjamin Teo , Paul Bastide , Cécile Ané

We consider the mutation--selection differential equation with pairwise interaction (or, equivalently, the diploid mutation--selection equation) and establish the corresponding ancestral process, which is a random tree and a variant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

We present an individual-based model of phenotypic trait evolution in two-sex populations, which includes semi-random mating of individuals of the opposite sex, natural death and intra-specific competition. By passing the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Paweł Zwoleński

This paper introduces a new combinatorial framework for modeling the growth of binary trees through a discrete evolution process that incorporates a growing rule and an extinction rule. Building upon the theory of increasingly labeled…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Olivier Bodini , Antoine Genitrini , Khaydar Nurligareev

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

We consider species tree estimation under a standard stochastic model of gene tree evolution that incorporates incomplete lineage sorting (as modeled by a coalescent process) and gene duplication and loss (as modeled by a branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Max Hill , Brandon Legried , Sebastien Roch

The branching structure of biological evolution confers statistical dependencies on phenotypic trait values in related organisms. For this reason, comparative macroevolutionary studies usually begin with an inferred phylogeny that describes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-23 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Multitype branching processes are ideal for studying the population dynamics of stem cell populations undergoing mutation accumulation over the years following transplant. In such stochastic models, several quantities are of clinical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Timothy C Stutz , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Mary Sehl , Jason Xu

(Multi-type) branching processes are a natural and well-studied model for generating random infinite trees. Branching processes feature both nondeterministic and probabilistic branching, generalizing both transition systems and Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Stefan Kiefer , Pavel Semukhin , Cas Widdershoven

Given a set of species whose evolution is represented by a species tree, a gene family is a group of genes having evolved from a single ancestral gene. A gene family evolves along the branches of a species tree through various mechanisms,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Cedric Chauve , Yann Ponty , Michael Wallner

We study the continuous-time evolution of the recombination equation of population genetics. This evolution is given by a differential equation that acts on a product probability space, and its solution can be described by a Markov chain on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Ian Letter , Servet Martínez

We are interested in the dynamic of a structured branching population where the trait of each individual moves according to a Markov process. The rate of division of each individual is a function of its trait and when a branching event…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Aline Marguet

We consider a class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees, in which the individuals lifetime and reproduction epochs are modeled using a transient Markovian arrival process (TMAP). We estimate the parameters of the TMAP based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Sophie Hautphenne , Melanie Massaro , Katharine Turner

Stochastic models of evolution (Markov random fields on trivalent trees) generally assume that different characters (different runs of the stochastic process) are independent and identically distributed. In this paper we take the first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-28 Deeparnab Chakrabarty , Sampath Kannan , Kevin Tian

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

We consider an interacting particle Markov process for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with non-constant population size, involving a linear birth rate, a density-dependent logistic death rate, and a probability $\mu$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Champagnat

We propose a continuous model for evolutionary rate variation across sites and over the tree and derive exact transition probabilities under this model. Changes in rate are modelled using the CIR process, a diffusion widely used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Lepage , Stephan Lawi , Paul Tupper , David Bryant

We consider a multitype Galton-Watson process that allows for the mutation and reversion of individual types in discrete and continuous time. In this setting, we explicitly compute the time evolution of quantities such as the mean and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-01 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault