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This paper investigates a numerical probabilistic method for the solution of some semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs in short). The numerical scheme is based on discrete time approximation for solutions of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Achref Bachouch , Mohamed Anis Ben Lasmar , Anis Matoussi , Mohamed Mnif

Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

This work develops a class of probabilistic algorithms for the numerical solution of nonlinear, time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Current state-of-the-art PDE solvers treat the space- and time-dimensions separately,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Nicholas Krämer , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

We address the problem of simulation and parameter inference for chemical reaction networks described by the chemical Langevin equation, a stochastic differential equation (SDE) representation of the dynamics of the chemical species. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Given a stochastic differential equation (SDE) in $\mathbb{R}^n$ whose solution is constrained to lie in some manifold $M \subset \mathbb{R}^n$, we propose a class of numerical schemes for the SDE whose iterates remain close to $M$ to high…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-24 John Armstrong , Tim King

We propose machine learning methods for solving fully nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with convex Hamiltonian. Our algorithms are conducted in two steps. First the PDE is rewritten in its dual stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-23 William Lefebvre , Grégoire Loeper , Huyên Pham

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Stochastic quantization in physics has been considered to provide a path integral representation of a probability distribution for Ito processes. It has been indicated that the stochastic quantization can involve a potential term, if the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Masakazu Sano

A new application of duality relations of stochastic processes is demonstrated. Although conventional usages of the duality relations need analytical solutions for the dual processes, we here employ numerical solutions of the dual processes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-14 Jun Ohkubo

We analyze multidimensional Markovian integral equations that are formulated with a time-inhomogeneous progressive Markov process that has Borel measurable transition probabilities. In the case of a path-dependent diffusion process, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Alexander Kalinin

Usually Fokker-Planck type partial differential equations (PDEs) are well-posed if the initial condition is specified. In this paper, alternatively, we consider the inverse problem which consists in prescribing final data: in particular we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Lucas Izydorczyk , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo , Gianmario Tessitore

This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on iterative methods for approximating the solution $\mathbf{x}_* \in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a nonsingular linear system $\mathbf{A} \mathbf{x}_* = \mathbf{b}$. In the approach a standard iterative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Jon Cockayne , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Chris J. Oates , Tim W. Reid

This paper introduces an adaptive time splitting technique for the solution of stiff evolutionary PDEs that guarantees an effective error control of the simulation, independent of the fastest physical time scale for highly unsteady…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-10 Stéphane Descombes , Max Duarte , Thierry Dumont , Violaine Louvet , Marc Massot

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are the bedrock for modern computational sciences and engineering, and inherently computationally expensive. While PDE foundation models have shown much promise for simulating such complex…

In this paper, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm to compute the value function and the optimal controls of continuous time stochastic control problems. The algorithm relies on successive approximations using linear-quadratic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Dylan Possamaï , Ludovic Tangpi

In this work, we study the emergence of sparsity and multiway structures in second-order statistical characterizations of dynamical processes governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). We consider several state-of-the-art multiway…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Yu Wang , Alfred Hero
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