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Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) are trained to optimize an entire distribution over their weights instead of a single set, having significant advantages in terms of, e.g., interpretability, multi-task learning, and calibration. Because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Jary Pomponi , Simone Scardapane , Aurelio Uncini

We study the convergence properties, in Hellinger and related distances, of nonparametric density estimators based on measure transport. These estimators represent the measure of interest as the pushforward of a chosen reference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sven Wang , Youssef Marzouk

We introduce a Bayesian perspective for the structured matrix factorization problem. The proposed framework provides a probabilistic interpretation for existing geometric methods based on determinant minimization. We model input data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Gokcan Tatli , Alper T. Erdogan

We develop a Bayesian methodology aimed at simultaneously estimating low-rank and row-sparse matrices in a high-dimensional multiple-response linear regression model. We consider a carefully devised shrinkage prior on the matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Antik Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Bani K. Mallick

While the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework offers an elegant solution to the problem of decision making under uncertainty, one question is how to appropriately select the prior distribution. One idea is to employ a worst-case prior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Thomas Kleine Buening , Christos Dimitrakakis , Hannes Eriksson , Divya Grover , Emilio Jorge

This paper introduces a novel approach to probabilistic deep learning, kernel density matrices, which provide a simpler yet effective mechanism for representing joint probability distributions of both continuous and discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Fabio A. González , Raúl Ramos-Pollán , Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia

We investigate the problem of deriving posterior concentration rates under different loss functions in nonparametric Bayes. We first provide a lower bound on posterior coverages of shrinking neighbourhoods that relates the metric or loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Marc Hoffmann , Judith Rousseau , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The forward Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a ubiquitous objective for fitting a parameterized distribution to samples due to its tractability and equivalence to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Its inherent asymmetry, however, may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Omri Ben-Dov , Luiz F. O. Chamon

In this paper, we study the strong consistency of a bias reduced kernel density estimator and derive a strongly con- sistent Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) estimator. As application, we formulate a goodness-of-fit test and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Papa Ngom , Freedath Djibril Moussa , Jean de Dieu Nkurunziza

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

Modern data analysis often involves massive datasets with hundreds of thousands of observations, making traditional inference algorithms computationally prohibitive. Coresets are selection methods designed to choose a smaller subset of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Bernardo Flores

We investigate predictive density estimation under the $L^2$ Wasserstein loss for location families and location-scale families. We show that plug-in densities form a complete class and that the Bayesian predictive density is given by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , William E. Strawderman

In this work, a novel sequential Monte Carlo filter is introduced which aims at efficient sampling of high-dimensional state spaces with a limited number of particles. Particles are pushed forward from the prior to the posterior density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Manuel Pulido , Peter Jan vanLeeuwen

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

This paper deals with minimax rates of convergence for estimation of density functions on the real line. The densities are assumed to be location mixtures of normals, a global regularity requirement that creates subtle difficulties for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Arlene K. H. Kim

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of density functions with a product form on the domain $\triangle=\{( x_1, \ldots, x_d)\in \mathbb{R}^d, 0\leq x_1\leq \dots \leq x_d \leq 1\}$. Such densities appear in the random truncation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis
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