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Clinical prediction models provide a prediction (e.g., estimated risk) for each individual, typically expressed as a point estimate derived from a deterministic function such as a logistic regression equation. Such 'plug-in' predictions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Richard D. Riley

In this paper, we introduce a new sparsity-promoting prior, namely, the "normal product" prior, and develop an efficient algorithm for sparse signal recovery under the Bayesian framework. The normal product distribution is the distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-25 Zhou Zhou , Kaihui Liu , Jun Fang

Bayesian linear mixed-effects models and Bayesian ANOVA are increasingly being used in the cognitive sciences to perform null hypothesis tests, where a null hypothesis that an effect is zero is compared with an alternative hypothesis that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Daniel J. Schad , Bruno Nicenboim , Shravan Vasishth

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Many statistical problems involve data from thousands of parallel cases. Each case has some associated effect size, and most cases will have no effect. It is often important to estimate the effect size and the local or tail-area false…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 Omkar Muralidharan

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Robert Pinsler , Jonathan Gordon , Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

In Bayesian statistics, the choice of prior distribution is often debatable, especially if prior knowledge is limited or data are scarce. In imprecise probability, sets of priors are used to accurately model and reflect prior knowledge.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Gero Walter , Frank P. A. Coolen

We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiability issues that may arise between the parameters in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Antonia A. L. Dos Santos , Danilo A. Sarti , Rafael A. Moral , Andrew C. Parnell

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects across individuals has attracted growing attention as a statistical tool for performing critical decision-making. We propose a Bayesian inference framework that quantifies the uncertainty in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Shunsuke Horii , Yoichi Chikahara

This paper considers the problem of sequential fusion of predictions from neural networks (NN) and fusion of predictions from multiple NN. This fusion strategy increases the robustness, i.e., reduces the impact of one incorrect…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-13 Magnus Malmström , Isaac Skog , Daniel Axehill , Fredrik Gustafsson

Consider a multinomial regression model where the response, which indicates a unit's membership in one of several possible unordered classes, is associated with a set of predictor variables. Such models typically involve a matrix of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-28 Paul Gustafson , Geneviève Lefebvre

Bayesian model selection, with precedents in George and McCulloch (1993) and Abramovich et al. (1998), support credibility measures that relate model uncertainty, but computation can be costly when sparse priors are approximate. We design…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-13 Alan Lenarcic , William Valdar

Count data is prevalent in various fields like ecology, medical research, and genomics. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of features exceeds the sample size, feature selection becomes essential. While frequentist methods like…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 The Tien Mai

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Sensitivity forecasts inform the design of experiments and the direction of theoretical efforts. To arrive at representative results, Bayesian forecasts should marginalize their conclusions over uncertain parameters and noise realizations…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-24 T. Gessey-Jones , W. J. Handley

In this paper, the use of the Generalized Beta Mixture (GBM) and Horseshoe distributions as priors in the Bayesian Compressive Sensing framework is proposed. The distributions are considered in a two-layer hierarchical model, making the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Zahra Sabetsarvestani , Hamidreza Amindavar

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

In this paper, we estimate and leverage latent constant group structure to generate the point, set, and density forecasts for short dynamic panel data. We implement a nonparametric Bayesian approach to simultaneously identify coefficients…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Boyuan Zhang