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A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

With $M(t):=\sup_{s\in[0,t]}A(s)-s$ denoting the running maximum of a fractional Brownian motion $A(\cdot)$ with negative drift, this paper studies the rate of convergence of $\mathbb {P}(M(t)>x)$ to $\mathbb{P}(M>x)$. We define two metrics…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Michel Mandjes , Ilkka Norros , Peter Glynn

We explore first-passage phenomenology for biased active processes with a renewal-type structure, focusing in particular on paradigmatic run-and-tumble models in both discrete and continuous state spaces. In general, we show there is no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Yonathan Sarmiento , Benjamin Walter , Debraj Das , Samvit Mahapatra , Édgar Roldán , Rosemary J. Harris

Define a gamma-reflected process W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s), t\ge0 with input process {Y_H(t), t\ge 0} which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H\in (0,1) and a negative linear trend. In risk theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Fix $p>1$, not necessarily integer, with $p(d-2)<d$. We study the $p$-fold self-intersection local time of a simple random walk on the lattice $\Z^d$ up to time $t$. This is the $p$-norm of the vector of the walker's local times, $\ell_t$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-10 Mathias Becker , Wolfgang König

We fit the exponent of the Pareto distribution, that is equivalent or can approximate the continuous power law distribution given a cutoff point, using linear regression (LR). We use LR on the logged variables of the empirical tail (one…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-21 Samuel Forbes

We use the Stein-Chen method to study the extremal behaviour of the problem of extremes for univariate and bivariate geometric laws. We obtain a rate for the convergence to the Gumbel distribution of the law of the maximum of i. i. d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Alessandra Cipriani , Anne Feidt

This paper considers a L\'evy-driven queue (i.e., a L\'evy process reflected at 0), and focuses on the distribution of $M(t)$, that is, the minimal value attained in an interval of length $t$ (where it is assumed that the queue is in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Krzysztof Debicki , Kamil Marcin Kosinski , Michel Mandjes

An invariant ensemble of $N\times N$ random matrices can be characterised by a joint distribution for eigenvalues $P(\lambda_1,\cdots,\lambda_N)$. The study of the distribution of linear statistics, i.e. of quantities of the form…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-25 Aurélien Grabsch , Christophe Texier

The problem of parameter estimation by i.i.d. observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process is considered in situation of misspecification. The model is that of a Poissonian signal observed in presence of a homogeneous Poissonian noise.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 O V Chernoyarov , S Dachian , Yu A Kutoyants

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

We adopt Gaussian Processes (GPs) as latent functions for probabilistic forecasting of intermittent time series. The model is trained in a Bayesian framework that accounts for the uncertainty about the latent function. We couple the latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-28 Stefano Damato , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Motivated by questions in lossy data compression and by theoretical considerations, we examine the problem of estimating the rate-distortion function of an unknown (not necessarily discrete-valued) source from empirical data. Our focus is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-18 M. T. Harrison , I. Kontoyiannis

Let \alpha ([0,1]^p) denote the intersection local time of p independent d-dimensional Brownian motions running up to the time 1. Under the conditions p(d-2)<d and d\ge 2, we prove lim_{t\to\infty}t^{-1}\log P\bigl{\alpha([0,1]^p)\ge…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xia Chen

Consider a random uniform sample of $n$ points in a compact region $A$ of Euclidean $d$-space, $d \geq 2$, with a smooth or (when $d=2$) polygonal boundary. Fix $k \in {\bf N}$. Let $T_{n,k}$ be the threshold $r$ at which the geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Mathew D. Penrose , Xiaochuan Yang

We consider the limiting behavior of the count of subgraphs isomorphic to a graph $G$ with $m\geq 0$ fixed endpoints (or roots) in the random-connection model, as the intensity $\lambda$ of the underlying Poisson point process tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qingwei Liu , Nicolas Privault

Extreme Value Theory plays an important role to provide approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the {generalised Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Consider a measure $\mu_\lambda = \sum_x \xi_x \delta_x$ where the sum is over points $x$ of a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda$ on a bounded region in $d$-space, and $\xi_x$ is a functional determined by the Poisson points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Mathew D. Penrose , Andrew R. Wade
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