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Solving hydrologic inverse problems usually requires repetitive forward simulations. One approach to mitigate the computational cost is to build a surrogate model, i.e., an approximate mapping from model parameters (input) to observable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Jiangjiang Zhang , Weixuan Li

Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical data overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in practice, one needs efficient ways for computing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Quantile regression (QR) can be used to describe the comprehensive relationship between a response and predictors. Prior domain knowledge and assumptions in application are usually formulated as constraints of parameters to improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Yongxin Liu , Peng Zeng

A common approach to analyzing categorical correlated time series data is to fit a generalized linear model (GLM) with past data as covariate inputs. There remain challenges to conducting inference for short time series length. By treating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Xu Gao , Hernando Ombao , Daniel Gillen

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

We study the problem of learning similarity functions over very large corpora using neural network embedding models. These models are typically trained using SGD with sampling of random observed and unobserved pairs, with a number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-20 Walid Krichene , Nicolas Mayoraz , Steffen Rendle , Li Zhang , Xinyang Yi , Lichan Hong , Ed Chi , John Anderson

Causal inference from longitudinal observational data is a challenging problem due to the difficulty in correctly identifying the time-dependent confounders, especially in the presence of latent time-dependent confounders. Instrumental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Wentao Gao , Thuc Duy Le

We show that a special case of method of moment estimator derived from the Stein class coincides with the class of generalized score matching estimator. Choosing a suitable weight function for generalized score matching is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Alfred Kume , Stephen G. Walker

We present quadrature schemes to calculate matrices, where the so-called modified Hilbert transformation is involved. These matrices occur as temporal parts of Galerkin finite element discretizations of parabolic or hyperbolic problems when…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Marco Zank

In survey statistics, the usual technique for estimating a population total consists in summing appropriately weighted variable values for the units in the sample. Different weighting systems exit: sampling weights, GREG weights or…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-09 François Coquet , Éric Lesage

We present a modular analysis program written in Python devoted to the estimation of autocorrelation times for Monte Carlo simulations by means of the $\Gamma$-method algorithm. We give a brief review of this method and describe the main…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-09-14 Barbara De Palma , Marco Erba , Luca Mantovani , Nicola Mosco

In this letter, we propose a Gaussian mixture model (GMM)-based channel estimator which is learned on imperfect training data, i.e., the training data are solely comprised of noisy and sparsely allocated pilot observations. In a practical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-14 Benedikt Fesl , Nurettin Turan , Michael Joham , Wolfgang Utschick

The multivariate errors-in-variables regression model is applicable when both dependent and independent variables in a multivariate regression are subject to measurement errors. In such a scenario it is long established that the traditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Johannes Lutzeyer , Edward A. K. Cohen

We develop the use of mutual information (MI), a well-established metric in information theory, to interpret the inner workings of deep learning models. To accurately estimate MI from a finite number of samples, we present GMM-MI…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-12 Davide Piras , Hiranya V. Peiris , Andrew Pontzen , Luisa Lucie-Smith , Ningyuan Guo , Brian Nord

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

We investigate the problem of representing information measures in terms of the moments of the underlying random variables. First, we derive polynomial approximations of the conditional expectation operator. We then apply these…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Wael Alghamdi , Flavio P. Calmon

G-formula is a popular approach for estimating treatment or exposure effects from longitudinal data that are subject to time-varying confounding. G-formula estimation is typically performed by Monte-Carlo simulation, with non-parametric…

Functional quadratic regression models postulate a polynomial relationship between a scalar response rather than a linear one. As in functional linear regression, vertical and specially high-leverage outliers may affect the classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Graciela Boente , Daniela Parada