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We propose an adaptive method for online time-varying (TV) convex optimization, termed $\mathcal{L}_{1}$ adaptive optimization ($\mathcal{L}_{1}$-AO). TV optimizers utilize a prediction model to exploit the temporal structure of TV…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Jinrae Kim , Naira Hovakimyan

In this paper, we study the problem of temporal video grounding (TVG), which aims to predict the starting/ending time points of moments described by a text sentence within a long untrimmed video. Benefiting from fine-grained 3D visual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Yimeng Zhang , Xin Chen , Jinghan Jia , Sijia Liu , Ke Ding

Statistical models often include thousands of parameters. However, large models decrease the investigator's ability to interpret and communicate the estimated parameters. Reducing the dimensionality of the parameter space in the estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-16 Eric Dunipace , Lorenzo Trippa

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

High dimensional predictive regressions are useful in wide range of applications. However, the theory is mainly developed assuming that the model is stationary with time invariant parameters. This is at odds with the prevalent evidence for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Kashif Yousuf , Serena Ng

This article proposes and studies warped-linear models for time series classification. The proposed models are time-warp invariant analogues of linear models. Their construction is in line with time series averaging and extensions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Brijnesh J. Jain

Time-varying parameter (TVP) models are very flexible in capturing gradual changes in the effect of a predictor on the outcome variable. However, in particular when the number of predictors is large, there is a known risk of overfitting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-09 Annalisa Cadonna , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Peter Knaus

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

Space-Time Projection (STP) is introduced as a data-driven forecasting approach for high-dimensional and time-resolved data. The method computes extended space-time proper orthogonal modes from training data spanning a prediction horizon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Oliver T. Schmidt

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

This paper discusses a general framework for smoothing parameter estimation for models with regular likelihoods constructed in terms of unknown smooth functions of covariates. Gaussian random effects and parametric terms may also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood , Natalya Pya , Benjamin Säfken

We propose a novel estimation framework for quadratic functionals of precision matrices in high-dimensional settings, particularly in regimes where the feature dimension $p$ exceeds the sample size $n$. Traditional moment-based estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Shizhe Hong , Weiming Li , Guangming Pan

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We explore time-varying networks for high-dimensional locally stationary time series, using the large VAR model framework with both the transition and (error) precision matrices evolving smoothly over time. Two types of time-varying graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Yuning Li , Oliver Linton

We present an algorithm for minimizing the sum of a strongly convex time-varying function with a time-invariant, convex, and nonsmooth function. The proposed algorithm employs the prediction-correction scheme alongside the forward-backward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Andrea Simonetto , Ruggero Carli

Existing methods of vector autoregressive model for multivariate time series analysis make use of low-rank matrix approximation or Tucker decomposition to reduce the dimension of the over-parameterization issue. In this paper, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Sijia Xia , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang

Inference for statistics of a stationary time series often involve nuisance parameters and sampling distributions that are difficult to estimate. In this paper, we propose the method of orthogonal samples, which can be used to address some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-03 Suhasini Subba Rao

We consider the problem of estimating the underlying edge probabilities of a time-varying network observed at multiple time points. The probability structure is represented by a time-varying graphon that satisfies temporal H\"older…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Jeonghwan Lee , Tianxi Li , Adam J. Rothman
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