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Many penalized maximum likelihood estimators correspond to posterior mode estimators under specific prior distributions. Appropriateness of a particular class of penalty functions can therefore be interpreted as the appropriateness of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Maryclare Griffin , Peter D. Hoff

Binomial data with unknown sizes often appear in biological and medical sciences. The previous methods either use the Poisson approximation or the quasi-likelihood approach. A full likelihood approach is proposed by treating unknown sizes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Zhang

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Nowadays, several data analysis problems require for complexity reduction, mainly meaning that they target at removing the non-influential covariates from the model and at delivering a sparse model. When categorical covariates are present,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Lea Kaufmann , Maria Kateri

Neural Networks can perform poorly when the training label distribution is heavily imbalanced, as well as when the testing data differs from the training distribution. In order to deal with shift in the testing label distribution, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Junjiao Tian , Yen-Cheng Liu , Nathan Glaser , Yen-Chang Hsu , Zsolt Kira

We present a novel adaptive optimization algorithm for black-box multi-objective optimization problems with binary constraints on the foundation of Bayes optimization. Our method is based on probabilistic regression and classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-01 Raoul Heese , Michael Bortz

This paper studies the Exponential Weights (EW) algorithm with an isotropic Gaussian prior for online logistic regression. We show that the near-optimal worst-case regret bound $O(d\log(Bn))$ for EW, established by Kakade and Ng (2005)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Federico Di Gennaro , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters (as a convex optimization problem) in the generalized linear models with independent or weakly dependent ($\rho$-mixing, $m$-dependent)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Xiaowei Yang , Shuang Song , Huiming Zhang

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Fitting cross-classified multilevel models with binary response is challenging. In this setting a promising method is Bayesian inference through Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA), which performs well in several latent variable…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-21 Leonardo Grilli , Francesco Innocenti

Modern algorithms for binary classification rely on an intermediate regression problem for computational tractability. In this paper, we establish a geometric distinction between classification and regression that allows risk in these two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-19 Suhas Vijaykumar , Claire Lazar Reich

Data augmentation is often used to incorporate inductive biases into models. Traditionally, these are hand-crafted and tuned with cross validation. The Bayesian paradigm for model selection provides a path towards end-to-end learning of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Pola Schwöbel , Martin Jørgensen , Sebastian W. Ober , Mark van der Wilk

We study the complexity of the entire regularization path for least squares regression with 1-norm penalty, known as the Lasso. Every regression parameter in the Lasso changes linearly as a function of the regularization value. The number…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Yuanzhi Li , Yoram Singer

Penalized logistic regression methods are frequently used to investigate the relationship between a binary outcome and a set of explanatory variables. The model performance can be assessed by measures such as the concordance statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Angelika Geroldinger , Lara Lusa , Mariana Nold , Georg Heinze

Offline policy optimization could have a large impact on many real-world decision-making problems, as online learning may be infeasible in many applications. Importance sampling and its variants are a commonly used type of estimator in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Yao Liu , Yannis Flet-Berliac , Emma Brunskill

The purpose of this research report is to present the our learning curve and the exposure to the Machine Learning life cycle, with the use of a Kaggle binary classification data set and taking to explore various techniques from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Mohamed Hamama

We address imbalanced classification, the problem in which a label may have low marginal probability relative to other labels, by weighting losses according to the correct class. First, we examine the convergence rates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Ziyu Xu , Chen Dan , Justin Khim , Pradeep Ravikumar

Deterministic solutions are becoming more critical for interpretability. Weighted Least-Squares (WLS) has been widely used as a deterministic batch solution with a specific weight design. In the online settings of WLS, exact reweighting is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Se-In Jang
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