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The moments of spatial probabilistic systems are often given by an infinite hierarchy of coupled differential equations. Moment closure methods are used to approximate a subset of low order moments by terminating the hierarchy at some order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Oliver K. Ernst , Tom Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

Moment-closure methods are popular tools to simplify the mathematical analysis of stochastic models defined on networks, in which high dimensional joint distributions are approximated (often by some heuristic argument) as functions of lower…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-25 Tim Rogers

Moment estimation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is fundamental to the formal reasoning and verification of stochastic dynamical systems, yet remains challenging and is rarely available in closed form. In this paper, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Naijun Zhan , Fanjiang Xu

To close the moment model deduced from kinetic equations, the canonical approach is to provide an approximation to the flux function not able to be depicted by the moments in the reduced model. In this paper, we propose a brand new closure…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-16 Ruo Li , Weiming Li , Lingchao Zheng

In this paper we develop a new data-driven closure approximation method to compute the statistical properties of quantities of interest in high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. The new method relies on estimating conditional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Catherine Brennan , Daniele Venturi

We present a method to automatically approximate moment-based invariants of probabilistic programs with non-polynomial updates of continuous state variables to accommodate more complex dynamics. Our approach leverages polynomial chaos…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-03 Andrey Kofnov , Marcel Moosbrugger , Miroslav Stankovič , Ezio Bartocci , Efstathia Bura

Combining recent moment and sparse semidefinite programming (SDP) relaxation techniques, we propose an approach to find smooth approximations for solutions of problems involving nonlinear differential equations. Given a system of nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Martin Mevissen , Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Didier Henrion

The method of moments in the context of Nonlinear Schrodinger Equations relies on defining a set of integral quantities, which characterize the solution of this partial differential equation and whose evolution can be obtained from a set of…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2007-05-23 Victor M. Perez-Garcia , P. Torres , Gaspar D. Montesinos

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

Applying the method of moments to the chemical master equation (CME) appearing in stochastic chemical kinetics often leads to the so-called closure problem. Recently, several authors showed that this problem can be partially overcome using…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-24 Garrett R. Dowdy , Paul I. Barton

Moment-closure approximations are an important tool in the analysis of the dynamics on both static and adaptive networks. Here, we provide a broad survey over different approximation schemes by applying each of them to the adaptive voter…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-11-05 G. Demirel , F. Vazquez , G. A. Böhme , T. Gross

This paper presents a method to approximately solve stochastic optimal control problems in which the cost function and the system dynamics are polynomial. For stochastic systems with polynomial dynamics, the moments of the state can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Approximate solutions of the chemical master equation and the chemical Fokker-Planck equation are an important tool in the analysis of biomolecular reaction networks. Previous studies have highlighted a number of problems with the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-22 Leo Bronstein , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we study the reachability problem for discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems. Our goal is to present a unified framework for calculating the probabilistic reachable set of discrete-time systems in the presence of both…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Zishun Liu , Saber Jafarpour , Yongxin Chen

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

Stochastic contraction analysis is a recently developed tool for studying the global stability properties of nonlinear stochastic systems, based on a differential analysis of convergence in an appropriate metric. To date, stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Quang-Cuong Pham , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Devising optimal interventions for constraining stochastic systems is a challenging endeavour that has to confront the interplay between randomness and nonlinearity. Existing methods for identifying the necessary dynamical adjustments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-18 Dimitra Maoutsa , Manfred Opper

Random invariant manifolds often provide geometric structures for understanding stochastic dynamics. In this paper, a dynamical approximation estimate is derived for a class of stochastic partial differential equations, by showing that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-10-08 Wei Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We present a method to overapproximate forward stochastic reach sets of discrete-time, stochastic nonlinear systems with interval geometry. This is made possible by extending the theory of mixed-monotone systems to incorporate stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-05 Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn A. Devonport , Murat Arcak , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Moment methods are classical approaches that approximate the mesoscopic radiative transfer equation by a system of macroscopic moment equations. An expansion in the angular variables transforms the original equation into a system of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-17 Martin Frank , Benjamin Seibold