Related papers: Full likelihood inference for max-stable data
In this paper we present theory, algorithms and applications for regression over the max- plus semiring. We show how max-plus 2-norm regression can be used to obtain maximum likelihood estimates for three different inverse problems. Namely…
Inferring dynamics from time series is an important objective in data analysis. In particular, it is challenging to infer stochastic dynamics given incomplete data. We propose an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that iterates between…
Max-stable processes are the natural analogues of the generalized extreme-value distribution for the modelling of extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions, these processes are asymptotically justified models for maxima of…
Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…
The Box--Cox transformation model has been widely applied for many years. The parametric version of this model assumes that the random error follows a parametric distribution, say the normal distribution, and estimates the model parameters…
In this note, we propose a new approach for the proof of the consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator for nonlinear AR processes with markov-switching under the assumptions of uniform exponential forgetting of the…
We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…
Missing covariates are not uncommon in capture-recapture studies. When covariate information is missing at random in capture-recapture data, an empirical full likelihood method has been demonstrated to outperform…
Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…
The theory of statistical inference along with the strategy of divide-and-conquer for large- scale data analysis has recently attracted considerable interest due to great popularity of the MapReduce programming paradigm in the Apache Hadoop…
In problems that involve input parameter information gathered from multiple data sources with varying reliability, incorporating decision makers' trust on different sources in optimization models can potentially improve solution…
Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…
Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…
In this paper, we propose a maximum smoothed likelihood method to estimate the component density functions of mixture models, in which the mixing proportions are known and may differ among observations. The proposed estimates maximize a…
In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…
This paper shows how to evolve numerically the maximum entropy probability distributions for a given set of constraints, which is a variational calculus problem. An evolutionary algorithm can obtain approximations to some well-known…
This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…
In this paper we address the problem of performing statistical inference for large scale data sets i.e., Big Data. The volume and dimensionality of the data may be so high that it cannot be processed or stored in a single computing node. We…
Distributed parameter identification for large-scale multi-agent networks encounters challenges due to nonlinear dynamics and partial observations. Simultaneously, ensuring the stability is crucial for the robust identification of dynamic…
Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…