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Intrinsic time is an example of an event-based conception of time, used to analyze financial time series. Here, for the first time, we reveal the connection between intrinsic time and physical time. In detail, we present an analytic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-07 James B. Glattfelder , Anton Golub

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

A time series is uniquely represented by its geometric shape, which also carries information. A time series can be modelled as the trajectory of a particle moving in a force field with one degree of freedom. The force acting on the particle…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Kaushik Majumdar , Srinath Jayachandran

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

Most complex systems are intrinsically dynamic in nature. The evolution of a dynamic complex system is typically represented as a sequence of snapshots, where each snapshot describes the configuration of the system at a particular instant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-30 Richard K. Darst , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez , Jari Saramäki , Santo Fortunato

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

A systematic procedure to synthesize interval observers for nonlinear discrete-time systems is proposed. The feedback gains and other matrices are found from the solutions to semidefinite feasibility programs. Two cases are considered: (1)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Adam M Tahir , Behcet Acikmese

We study the use of a time series encoder to learn representations that are useful on data set types with which it has not been trained on. The encoder is formed of a convolutional neural network whose temporal output is summarized by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Joan Serrà , Santiago Pascual , Alexandros Karatzoglou

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

In this work the significance of treating a set of measurements as a time series is being explored. Time Series Analysis (TSA) techniques, part of the Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) approach, can provide much insight regarding the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-01 Dimitra Georgakaki , Chris Mitsas , Hariton Polatoglou

The goal of data-driven learning of dynamical systems is to interpret time series as a continuous observation of an underlying dynamical system. This task is not well-posed for a variety of reasons - such as multiple co-existing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Suddhasattwa Das , Tomoharu Suda

This article reports on a new approach to properly analyze time series of dynamical systems which are spoilt by the simultaneous presence of dynamical noise and measurement noise. It is shown that even strong external measurement noise as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Frank Boettcher , Joachim Peinke , David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich , Pedro G. Lind , Maria Haase

This work provides a framework for nonlinear model-free control of systems with unknown input-output dynamics, but outputs that can be controlled by the inputs. This framework leads to real-time control of the system such that a feasible…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-13 Amit K. Sanyal

The information contained in a time series is more than what the values themselves are. In this paper, the Time-variant Local Autocorrelated Polynomial model with Kalman filter is proposed to model the underlying dynamics of a time series…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

Many measurements on soft condensed matter (e.g., biological and materials) systems track low-dimensional observables projected from the full system phase space as a function of time. Examples are dynamic structure factors, spectroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Alessio Lapolla , Jeremy C. Smith , Aljaž Godec

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

Many empirical time series are genuinely symbolic: examples range from link activation patterns in network science, DNA coding or firing patterns in neuroscience to cryptography or combinatorics on words. In some other contexts, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Lluis Arola-Fernandez , Lucas Lacasa

Experimental measurements of physical systems often have a limited number of independent channels, causing essential dynamical variables to remain unobserved. However, many popular methods for unsupervised inference of latent dynamics from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 William Gilpin

We present a relational framework in which temporal structure is not fundamental but emerges from correlations within a globally stationary quantum state. Each subsystem includes an internal clock, and conditional states evolve effectively…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Amir Hossein Ghasemi