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Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Mohamed Akrout , Dan Wilson

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

This paper deals with the problem of on-line identification of the parameters of a realistic dynamical model of a photovoltaic array connected to a power system through a power converter. It has been shown in the literature that, when…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Mancilla-David , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Romeo Ortega

Observability is a fundamental structural property of any dynamic system and describes the possibility of reconstructing the state that characterizes the system from observing its inputs and outputs. Despite the huge effort made to study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Agostino Martinelli

Accurate prediction of dynamical response of structural system depends on the correct modeling of that system. However, modeling becomes increasingly challenging when there are many candidate models available to describe the system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Subhayan De , Tianhao Yu , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

This work is devoted to modelling and identification of the dynamics of the inter-sectoral balance of a macroeconomic system. An approach to the problem of specification and identification of a weakly formalized dynamical system is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

Mathematical models are crucial for optimizing and controlling chemical processes, yet they often face significant limitations in terms of computational time, algorithm complexity, and development costs. Hybrid models, which combine…

We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond excess returns using dynamic term structure models (DTSMs). The…

A biological regulatory network can be modeled as a discrete function that contains all available information on network component interactions. From this function we can derive a graph representation of the network structure as well as of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-10-09 Heike Siebert

Theoretical developments in sequential Bayesian analysis of multivariate dynamic models underlie new methodology for causal prediction. This extends the utility of existing models with computationally efficient methodology, enabling routine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Kevin Li , Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Mike West

In many application areas---lending, education, and online recommenders, for example---fairness and equity concerns emerge when a machine learning system interacts with a dynamically changing environment to produce both immediate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Elliot Creager , David Madras , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

This paper proposes a fully decentralized and recursive approach to online identification of unknown kinematic and dynamic parameters for cooperative manipulation of a rigid body based on commonly used local measurements. To the best of our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Taosha Fan , Huan Weng , Todd Murphey

We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

All scientific interpretations of statistical outputs depend on background (auxiliary) assumptions that are rarely delineated or explicitly interrogated. These include not only the usual modeling assumptions, but also deeper assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-01 Sander Greenland , Zad Rafi , Robert Matthews , Megan Higgs

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

As data from monitored structures become increasingly available, the demand grows for it to be used efficiently to add value to structural operation and management. One way in which this can be achieved is to use structural response…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-14 Nicholas E. Silionis , Konstantinos N. Anyfantis

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

System identification is a common tool for estimating (linear) plant models as a basis for model-based predictive control and optimization. The current challenges in process industry, however, ask for data-driven modelling techniques that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Arne G. Dankers , Harm H. M. Weerts