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Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Niklas Pfister , Stefan Bauer , Jonas Peters

Practical identifiability is a critical concern in data-driven modeling of mathematical systems. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for practical identifiability analysis to evaluate parameter identifiability in mathematical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-06 Shun Wang , Wenrui Hao

Experience in the physical sciences suggests that the only realistic means of understanding complex systems is through the use of mathematical models. Typically, this has come to mean the identification of quantitative models expressed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-02 George M. Coghill , Ross D. King , Ashwin Srinivasan

The parameter identifiability problem for a dynamical system is to determine whether the parameters of the system can be found from data for the outputs of the system. Verifying whether the parameters are identifiable is a necessary first…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-11 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Anand Pillay , Gleb Pogudin , Thomas Scanlon

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

I introduce a stability notion, dynamic stability, for two-sided dynamic matching markets where (i) matching opportunities arrive over time, (ii) matching is one-to-one, and (iii) matching is irreversible. The definition addresses two…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-01 Laura Doval

We summarize recent progress on the theory and applications of structural identifiability of compartmental models. On the applications side, we review identifiability analyses undertaken recently for models arising in epidemiology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Nicolette Meshkat , Anne Shiu

We introduce behavioral inequalities as a way to model dynamical systems defined by inequalities among their variables of interest. We claim that such a formulation enables the representation of safety-aware dynamical systems, systems with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Soutrik Bandyopadhyay , Debasattam Pal , Shubhendu Bhasin

The mathematical models used to capture features of complex, biological systems are typically non-linear, meaning that there are no generally valid simple relationships between their outputs and the data that might be used to validate them.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Thomas House

This paper focuses on the identification of dynamical systems with tailor-made model structures, where neural networks are used to approximate uncertain components and domain knowledge is retained, if available. These model structures are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

The successful application of epidemic models hinges on our ability to estimate model parameters from limited observations reliably. An often-overlooked step before estimating model parameters consists of ensuring that the model parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-29 Gerardo Chowell , Sushma Dahal , Yuganthi R. Liyanage , Amna Tariq , Necibe Tuncer

The concept of random dynamical system is a comparatively recent development combining ideas and methods from the well developed areas of probability theory and dynamical systems. Due to our inaccurate knowledge of the particular physical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vitor Araujo

A novel information-theoretic approach is proposed to assess the global practical identifiability of Bayesian statistical models. Based on the concept of conditional mutual information, an estimate of information gained for each model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

In this paper we propose a novel approach to identify dynamical systems. The method estimates the model structure and the parameters of the model simultaneously, automating the critical decisions involved in identification such as model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Dhruv Khandelwal , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

Identifying the dynamic precompensator that renders a nonlinear control system feedback linearizable is a challenging problem. Researchers have explored the problem -- dynamic feedback linearization -- and produced existence conditions and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Rollen S. D'Souza

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne