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In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

We explore the applications of our previously established likelihood-ratio method for deriving concentration inequalities for a wide variety of univariate and multivariate distributions. New concentration inequalities for various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Xinjia Chen

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

We develop nonparametric Bayesian modelling approaches for Poisson processes, using weighted combinations of structured beta densities to represent the point process intensity function. For a regular spatial domain, such as the unit square,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Chunyi Zhao , Athanasios Kottas

This paper derives exponential concentration inequalities and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm of a random matrix. The analysis requires a matrix extension of the scalar concentration theory developed by Sourav…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Lester Mackey , Michael I. Jordan , Richard Y. Chen , Brendan Farrell , Joel A. Tropp

A Milstein-type scheme was proposed to improve the rate of convergence of its approximation of the solution to a stochastic differential equation driven by a vector of continuous semimartingales. A necessary and sufficient condition was…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqing Yan

The Bernstein inequality is a tight upper bound on tail probabilities for independent random variables. Freedman extended the Bernstein inequality to martingales with differences bounded from above, and then Dzhaparidze and van Zanten…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 WenCong Zhang

In this work we provide performance guarantees for hypocoercive non-reversible MCMC samplers $X_t$ with invariant measure $\mu_*$; our results apply in particular to the Langevin equation, Hamiltonian Monte-Carlo, and the bouncy particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Jeremiah Birrell , Luc Rey-Bellet

These lecture notes present some new concentration inequalities for Feynman-Kac particle processes. We analyze different types of stochastic particle models, including particle profile occupation measures, genealogical tree based evolution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-07-13 Pierre Del Moral , Peng Hu , Liming Wu

Large deviation inequalities for ergodic sums is an important subject since the seminal contribution of Bernstein for independent random variables with finite variances, followed by the Chernoff method and the Hoefding result for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Miguel Abadi

We study large sample properties of Bayesian analysis of the proportional hazard model with neutral to the right process priors on the baseline hazard function. We show that the posterior distribution of the baseline cumulative hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yongdai Kim

We revisit the method of mixture technique, also known as the Laplace method, to study the concentration phenomenon in generic exponential families. Combining the properties of Bregman divergence associated with log-partition function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Patrick Saux , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard , Aditya Gopalan

Learning from non-independent and non-identically distributed data poses a persistent challenge in statistical learning. In this study, we introduce data-dependent Bernstein inequalities tailored for vector-valued processes in Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Erfan Mirzaei , Andreas Maurer , Vladimir R. Kostic , Massimiliano Pontil

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

We derive in this short article the non-asymptotical non-uniform sharp error estimation for the Bernstein's type approximation of continuous function based on the modern probabilistic apparatus.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

This paper focuses on the strong convergence of the truncated $\theta$-Milstein method for a class of nonautonomous stochastic differential delay equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients can grow polynomially. The convergence rate,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Shuaibin Gao , Junhao Hu , Jie He , Qian Guo

Stein's method for concentration inequalities was introduced to prove concentration of measure in problems involving complex dependencies such as random permutations and Gibbs measures. In this paper, we provide some extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Sourav Chatterjee , Partha S. Dey

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid
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