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Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

Bayesian multinomial logistic regression provides a principled, interpretable approach to multiclass classification, but posterior sampling becomes increasingly expensive as the model dimension grows. Prior work has studied scalability in…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jared D. Fisher , Kyle R. McEvoy

This paper studies the estimation of network weights for a class of systems with binary-valued observations. In these systems only quantized observations are available for the network estimation. Furthermore, system states are coupled with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Class imbalance poses a challenge for developing unbiased, accurate predictive models. In particular, in image segmentation neural networks may overfit to the foreground samples from small structures, which are often heavily…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Zeju Li , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Ben Glocker

ProBoost, a new boosting algorithm for probabilistic classifiers, is proposed in this work. This algorithm uses the epistemic uncertainty of each training sample to determine the most challenging/uncertain ones; the relevance of these…

The fundamental task of general density estimation $p(x)$ has been of keen interest to machine learning. In this work, we attempt to systematically characterize methods for density estimation. Broadly speaking, most of the existing methods…

The calibration and training of a neural network is a complex and time-consuming procedure that requires significant computational resources to achieve satisfactory results. Key obstacles are a large number of hyperparameters to select and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Gabriele Maroni , Loris Cannelli , Dario Piga , Simone Formentin

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

Recent deep learning approaches have shown great improvement in audio source separation tasks. However, the vast majority of such work is focused on improving average separation performance, often neglecting to examine or control the…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Efthymios Tzinis , Dimitrios Bralios , Paris Smaragdis

Meta-reinforcement learning trains a single reinforcement learning agent on a distribution of tasks to quickly generalize to new tasks outside of the training set at test time. From a Bayesian perspective, one can interpret this as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Joery A. de Vries , Jinke He , Mathijs M. de Weerdt , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

We propose a recursive Bayesian estimation procedure for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs based on message passing in a factor graph. Unlike recursive least-squares, our method produces full posterior distributions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 T. N. Nisslbeck , Wouter M. Kouw

We present a simple linear regression based approach for learning the weights and biases of a neural network, as an alternative to standard gradient based backpropagation. The present work is exploratory in nature, and we restrict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Harshad Khadilkar

Discrete-time modeling of acoustic, mechanical and electrical systems is a prominent topic in the musical signal processing literature. Such models are mostly derived by discretizing a mathematical model, given in terms of ordinary or…

Given a differentiable network architecture and loss function, we revisit optimizing the network's neurons in function space using Boosted Backpropagation (Grubb & Bagnell, 2010), in contrast to optimizing in parameter space. From this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Daniel Munoz

A nonparametric and locally adaptive Bayesian estimator is proposed for estimating a binary regression. Flexibility is obtained by modeling the binary regression as a mixture of probit regressions with the argument of each probit regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-25 Sally Wood , Robert Kohn , Remy Cottet , Wenxin Jiang , Martin Tanner

Numerous studies attempt to mitigate classification bias caused by class imbalance. However, existing studies have yet to explore the collaborative optimization of imbalanced learning and model training. This constraint hinders further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Chuantao Li , Zhi Li , Jiahao Xu , Jie Li , Sheng Li

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Consider a logistic partially linear model, in which the logit of the mean of a binary response is related to a linear function of some covariates and a nonparametric function of other covariates. We derive simple, doubly robust estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Zhiqiang Tan

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Xinwei Shen , Nicolai Meinshausen

A recursive estimator of the conditional geometric median in Hilbert spaces is studied. It is based on a stochastic gradient algorithm whose aim is to minimize a weighted L1 criterion and is consequently well adapted for robust online…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Hervé Cardot , Peggy Cénac , Pierre-André Zitt
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