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We prove a functional limit theorem for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a $(d,\alpha,\beta)$-branching particle system [particles moving in $\mathbb {R}^d$ according to a symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process, branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Tomasz Bojdecki , Luis G. Gorostiza , Anna Talarczyk

We investigate long and short memory in $\alpha$-stable moving averages and max-stable processes with $\alpha$-Fr\'echet marginal distributions. As these processes are heavy-tailed, we rely on the notion of long range dependence suggested…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Vitalii Makogin , Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

We study the explosion phenomenon of nonlinear continuous-state branching processes (nonlinear CSBPs). First an explicit integral test for explosion is designed when the rate function does not increase too fast. We then exhibit three…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Bo Li , Clément Foucart , Xiaowen Zhou

Many time series produced by complex systems are empirically found to follow power-law distributions with different exponents $\alpha$. By permuting the independently drawn samples from a power-law distribution, we present non-trivial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-24 Fangjian Guo , Dan Yang , Zimo Yang , Zhi-Dan Zhao , Tao Zhou

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

Random walks in random scenery are processes defined by $Z_n:=\sum_{k=1}^n\xi_{X_1+...+X_k}$, where $(X_k,k\ge 1)$ and $(\xi_y,y\in{\mathbb Z}^d)$ are two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb Z}^d$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-24 Fabienne Castell , Nadine Guillotin--Plantard , Françoise Pène

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

In the paper the rescaled occupation time fluctuation process of a certain empirical system is investigated. The system consists of particles evolving independently according to \alpha-stable motion in R^d, \alpha<d<2\alpha. The particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Piotr Milos

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

We consider Stochastic Volatility processes with heavy tails and possible long memory in volatility. We study the limiting conditional distribution of future events given that some present or past event was extreme (i.e. above a level which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-17 Rafał Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Advanced science and technology provide a wealth of big data from different sources for extreme value analysis. Classical extreme value theory was extended to obtain an accelerated max-stable distribution family for modelling competing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Kaihao Hu , Kai Wang , Corina Constantinescu , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

Extreme value theory provides rigorous theory and statistical tools for extrapolation in machine learning, particularly in settings where traditional methods struggle due to data scarcity in the tails. A broad range of tasks benefit from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Anne Sabourin

We investigate the limit behavior of supercritical multitype branching processes in random environments with linear fractional offspring distributions and show that there exists a phase transition in the behavior of local probabilites of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Wenming Hong , Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

Let $\eta=(\eta(t))_{t\in T}$ be a sample continuous max-infinitely random field on a locally compact metric space $T$. For a closed subset $S\in T$, we note $\eta_{S}$ the restriction of $\eta$ to $S$. We consider $\beta(S_1,S_2)$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We study time series concerning rare events. The occurrence of a rare event is depicted as a jump of constant intensity always occurring in the same direction, thereby generating an asymmetric diffusion process. We consider the case where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Grigolini , Luigi Palatella , Giacomo Raffaelli

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

We describe a new class of self-similar symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes with stationary increments arising as a large time scale limit in a situation where many users are earning random rewards or incurring random costs. The resulting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Serge Cohen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In discrete contexts such as the degree distribution for a graph, \emph{scale-free} has traditionally been \emph{defined} to be \emph{power-law}. We propose a reasonable interpretation of \emph{scale-free}, namely, invariance under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Richard Arratia , Thomas M. Liggett , Malcolm J. Williamson