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Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

We propose a method to account for the Earth oblateness effect in preliminary orbit determination of satellites in low orbits with radar observations. This method is an improvement of the one described in (Gronchi et al 2015), which uses a…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-10-24 Helene Ma , Giovanni F. Gronchi , Davide Bracali Cioci

The typical approach for recovery of spatially correlated signals is regularized least squares with a coupled regularization term. In the Bayesian framework, this algorithm is seen as a maximum-a-posterior estimator whose postulated prior…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Ali Bereyhi , Saeid Haghighatshoar , Ralf R. Müller

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Incorporating the concept of order parameter of the mean-field theory into the simulated annealing method, we presented a new optimization algorithm, the guided simulated annealing method. In this method mean-field order parameters are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. I. Chou , R. S. Han , S. P. Li , T. K. Lee

A frequent matter of debate in Bayesian inversion is the question, which of the two principle point-estimators, the maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) or the conditional mean (CM) estimate is to be preferred. As the MAP estimate corresponds to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Martin Burger , Felix Lucka

Variational regularization of ill-posed inverse problems is based on minimizing the sum of a data fidelity term and a regularization term. The balance between them is tuned using a positive regularization parameter, whose automatic choice…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Markus Juvonen , Bjørn Jensen , Ilmari Pohjola , Yiqiu Dong , Samuli Siltanen

We consider a Bayesian framework for estimating a high-dimensional sparse precision matrix, in which adaptive shrinkage and sparsity are induced by a mixture of Laplace priors. Besides discussing our formulation from the Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-22 Lingrui Gan , Naveen N. Narisetty , Feng Liang

This paper presents a machine learning approach for tuning the parameters of a family of stabilizing controllers for orbital tracking. An augmented random search algorithm is deployed, which aims at minimizing a cost function combining…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Gianni Bianchini , Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani , Mirko Leomanni , Renato Quartullo

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

Source separation is one of the signal processing's main emerging domain. Many techniques such as maximum likelihood (ML), Infomax, cumulant matching, estimating function, etc. have been used to address this difficult problem.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

In unconstrained maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood estimation, the inverse of minus the merit-function Hessian matrix is an approximation of the estimate covariance matrix. In the Bayesian context of MAP estimation, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

The current standard Bayesian approach to model calibration, which assigns a Gaussian process prior to the discrepancy term, often suffers from issues of unidentifiability and computational complexity and instability. When the goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-13 Spencer Woody , Novin Ghaffari , Lauren Hund

Continuous-discrete models with dynamics described by stochastic differential equations are used in a wide variety of applications. For these systems, the maximum a posteriori (MAP) state path can be defined as the curves around which lie…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Dimas Abreu Dutra , Bruno Otávio Soares Teixeira , Luis Antonio Aguirre

Standard regularized training procedures correspond to maximizing a posterior distribution over parameters, known as maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation. However, model parameters are of interest only insomuch as they combine with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Shikai Qiu , Tim G. J. Rudner , Sanyam Kapoor , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In a general setting, we study a posteriori estimates used in finite element analysis to measure the error between a solution and its approximation. The latter is not necessarily generated by a finite element method. We show that the error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Thomas Führer , Sergio Rojas

Estimating the marginal likelihoods is an essential feature of model selection in the Bayesian context. It is especially crucial to have good estimates when assessing the number of planets orbiting stars when the models explain the noisy…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Mikko Tuomi , Hugh R. A. Jones

We propose a new approach to Bayesian prior probability distributions (priors) that can improve orbital solutions for low-phase-coverage orbits, where data cover less than approximately 40% of an orbit. In instances of low phase coverage…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-12 K. Kosmo O'Neil , G. D. Martinez , A. Hees , A. M. Ghez , T. Do , G. Witzel , Q. Konopacky , E. E. Becklin , D. S. Chu , J. Lu , K. Matthews , S. Sakai