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This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

We consider a polling system: a queueing system of $N\ge 1$ queues with Poisson arrivals $Q_1,...,Q_N$ visited in a cyclic order (with or without switchover times) by a single server. For this system we derive the probability generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Onno Boxma , Offer Kella , Kamil Marcin Kosinski

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Jeanett S. Pelck , Rodrigo Labouriau

This paper, which is Part 1 of a two-part paper series, considers a simulation-based inference with learned summary statistics, in which such a learned summary statistic serves as an empirical-likelihood with ameliorative effects in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Getachew K. Befekadu

In this paper we consider the current status continuous mark model where, if the event takes place before an inspection time $T$ a "continuous mark" variable is observed as well. A Bayesian nonparametric method is introduced for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

Recent studies indicate that in many situations service times are affected by the experienced queueing delay of the particular customer. This effect has been detected in different areas, such as health care, call centers and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , René Bekker , Vidyadhar Kulkarni

Motivated by queueing applications, we study various reflected autoregressive processes with dependencies. Amongst others, we study cases where the interarrival and service times are proportionally dependent with additive and/or subtracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Ioannis Dimitriou , Dieter Fiems

A new model for time series with a specific oscillation pattern is proposed. The model consists of a hidden phase process controlling the speed of polling and a nonparametric curve characterizing the pattern, leading together to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Thierry Dumont , Sylvain Le Corff , Jan C. Neddermeyer

In spatial statistics, it is often assumed that the spatial field of interest is stationary and its covariance has a simple parametric form, but these assumptions are not appropriate in many applications. Given replicate observations of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Brian Kidd , Matthias Katzfuss

Efficient use of call center operators through technological innovations more often come at the expense of added operation management issues. In this paper, the stationary characteristics of an $M/G/1$ retrial queue is investigated where…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Muthukrishnan Senthil Kumar , Aresh Dadlani , Kiseon Kim

This paper studies statistical inference in a network of infinite-server queues, with the aim of estimating the underlying parameters (routing matrix, arrival rates, parameters pertaining to the service times) using observations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Hritika Gupta , Michel Mandjes , Liron Ravner , Jiesen Wang

Explicit results are derived using simple and exact methods for the joint and marginal queue-length distributions for the M/M/c queue with two non-preemptive priority levels. Equal service rates are assumed. Two approaches are considered.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Josef Zuk , David Kirszenblat

We give a recursive construction of the stationary distribution of multi-type asymmetric simple exclusion processes on a finite ring or on the infinite line $Z$. The construction can be interpreted in terms of "multi-line diagrams" or…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 James B. Martin

We consider the $M/M/1$-PS queue with processor sharing. We study the conditional sojourn time distribution of an arriving customer, conditioned on the number of other customers present. A new formula is obtained for the conditional sojourn…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Qiang Zhen , Charles Knessl

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

This paper develops a systematic parametric method for analyzing stochastic systems under volatility uncertainty within the $G$-expectation framework. Leveraging the dual representation of the $G$-expectation as a supremum over a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Guangqian Zhao
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