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This paper provides convergence analysis for the approximation of a class of path-dependent functionals underlying a continuous stochastic process. In the first part, given a sequence of weak convergent processes, we provide a sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Qingshuo Song , George Yin , Qing Zhang

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is crucial for deploying robust machine learning models, especially in areas where security is critical. However, traditional OOD detection methods often fail to capture complex data distributions from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Armando Zhu , Jiabei Liu , Keqin Li , Shuying Dai , Bo Hong , Peng Zhao , Changsong Wei

Uncertainty estimation is a key component in any deployed machine learning system. One way to evaluate uncertainty estimation is using "out-of-distribution" (OoD) detection, that is, distinguishing between the training data distribution and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Haiwen Huang , Joost van Amersfoort , Yarin Gal

We propose a unified rare-event estimator for the performance evaluation of wireless communication systems. The estimator is derived from the well-known multilevel splitting algorithm. In its original form, the splitting algorithm cannot be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Nadhir Ben Rached , Daniel MacKinlay , Zdravko Botev , Raul Tempone , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

The smoothing distribution is the conditional distribution of the diffusion process in the space of trajectories given noisy observations made continuously in time. It is generally difficult to sample from this distribution. We use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Oskar Eklund , Annika Lang , Moritz Schauer

In satellite image analysis, distributional mismatch between the training and test data may arise due to several reasons, including unseen classes in the test data and differences in the geographic area. Deep learning based models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Jakob Gawlikowski , Sudipan Saha , Anna Kruspe , Xiao Xiang Zhu

We present a theory for the construction of out-of-distribution (OOD) detection features for neural networks. We introduce random features for OOD through a novel information-theoretic loss functional consisting of two terms, the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Sudeepta Mondal , Zhuolin Jiang , Ganesh Sundaramoorthi

Optimal paths for the classical Onsager-Machlup function determining most probable paths between points on a manifold are only explicitly identified for specific processes, for example the Riemannian Brownian motion. This leaves out large…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Erlend Grong , Stefan Sommer

A deep learning-based computational method is proposed for soft matter dynamics -- the deep Onsager-Machlup method (DOMM). It combines the brute forces of deep neural networks (DNNs) with the fundamental physics principle -- Onsager-Machlup…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-24 Zhihao Li , Boyi Zou , Haiqin Wang , Jian Su , Dong Wang , Xinpeng Xu

In data assimilation, the model may be subject to uncertainties and errors. The weak-constraint data assimilation framework enables incorporating model uncertainty in the dynamics of the governing equations. We propose a new framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Alen Alexanderian , Hugo Díaz , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba

This article introduces trimmed estimators for the mean and covariance function of general functional data. The estimators are based on a new measure of outlyingness or data depth that is well defined on any metric space, although this…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-03 Daniel Gervini

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. In this work, we develop non-asymptotic convergence theory for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuejie Chi , Yuxin Chen

We consider the outstanding problem of sampling from an unnormalized density that may be non-log-concave and multimodal. To enhance the performance of simple Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, techniques of annealing type have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Wei Guo , Molei Tao , Yongxin Chen

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

This work addresses the challenges of robust covariance estimation and interpretable outlier detection for multivariate functional data with separable covariance structure. We develop a method that simultaneously improves robustness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marcus Mayrhofer , Una Radojičić , Horst Lewitschnig , Peter Filzmoser

Posterior drift refers to changes in the relationship between responses and covariates while the distributions of the covariates remain unchanged. In this work, we explore functional linear regression under posterior drift with transfer…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoyu Hu , Zhenhua Lin

Importance sampling is a well developed method in statistics. Given a random variable $X$, the problem of estimating its expected value $\mu$ is addressed. The standard approach is to use the sample mean as an estimator $\bar x$. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-09 Georg Hofmann

Post-hoc out-of-distribution (OOD) detection has garnered intensive attention in reliable machine learning. Many efforts have been dedicated to deriving score functions based on logits, distances, or rigorous data distribution assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Bo Peng , Yadan Luo , Yonggang Zhang , Yixuan Li , Zhen Fang

Exploiting physical processes for fast and energy-efficient computation bears great potential in the advancement of modern hardware components. This paper explores non-linear charge tunneling in nanoparticle networks, controlled by external…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-20 Evan Wonisch , Jonas Mensing , Andreas Heuer

We propose an estimator of a concave cumulative distribution function under the measurement error model, where the non-negative variables of interest are perturbed by additive independent random noise. The estimator is defined as the least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada , Cecile Durot , Tommaso Lando