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Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

Many probabilistic models introduce strong dependencies between variables using a latent multivariate Gaussian distribution or a Gaussian process. We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for performing inference in models with…

Computation · Statistics 2010-03-22 Iain Murray , Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

Investigators often use the data to generate interesting hypotheses and then perform inference for the generated hypotheses. P-values and confidence intervals must account for this explorative data analysis. A fruitful method for doing so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Keli Liu , Jelena Markovic , Robert Tibshirani

This paper proposes a bootstrap-assisted procedure to conduct simultaneous inference for high dimensional sparse linear models based on the recent de-sparsifying Lasso estimator (van de Geer et al. 2014). Our procedure allows the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

When the model is not known and parameter testing or interval estimation is conducted after model selection, it is necessary to consider selective inference. This paper discusses this issue in the context of sparse estimation. Firstly, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Joe Suzuki

Cross-validation is one of the most popular model selection methods in statistics and machine learning. Despite its wide applicability, traditional cross validation methods tend to select overfitting models, due to the ignorance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Jing Lei

Post-selection inference is a statistical technique for determining salient variables after model or variable selection. Recently, selective inference, a kind of post-selection inference framework, has garnered the attention in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

In this work, we provide a refinement of the selective CLT result of Tian and Taylor (2015), which allows for selective inference in non-parametric settings by adjusting for the asymptotic Gaussian limit for selection. Under some regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Jelena Markovic , Jonathan Taylor

A great deal of interest has recently focused on conducting inference on the parameters in a high-dimensional linear model. In this paper, we consider a simple and very na\"{i}ve two-step procedure for this task, in which we (i) fit a lasso…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Sen Zhao , Daniela Witten , Ali Shojaie

We consider random sample splitting for estimation and inference in high dimensional generalized linear models, where we first apply the lasso to select a submodel using one subsample and then apply the debiased lasso to fit the selected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Omar Vazquez , Bin Nan

Valid uncertainty quantification after model selection remains challenging in high-dimensional linear regression, especially within the possibilistic inferential model (PIM) framework. We develop possibilistic inferential models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yaohui Lin

We propose a computationally intensive method, the random lasso method, for variable selection in linear models. The method consists of two major steps. In step 1, the lasso method is applied to many bootstrap samples, each using a set of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 Sijian Wang , Bin Nan , Saharon Rosset , Ji Zhu

In this paper we consider the problem of Gaussian process classifier (GPC) model selection with different Leave-One-Out (LOO) Cross Validation (CV) based optimization criteria and provide a practical algorithm using LOO predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-27 Sundararajan Sellamanickam , Sathiya Keerthi Selvaraj

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are suitable for clustered data and are common in biometrics, medicine, survey statistics and many other fields. In those applications, it is essential to carry out valid inference after selecting a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Peter Kramlinger , Ulrike Schneider , Tatyana Krivobokova

Debiasing group graphical lasso estimates enables statistical inference when multiple Gaussian graphical models share a common sparsity pattern. We analyze the estimation properties of group graphical lasso, establishing convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Sayan Ranjan Bhowal , Debashis Paul , Gopal K Basak , Samarjit Das

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

Modern variable selection procedures make use of penalization methods to execute simultaneous model selection and estimation. A popular method is the LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), the use of which requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke