Related papers: Persistence exponents in Markov chains

For the moving average process $X_n=\rho \xi_{n-1}+\xi_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $\rho\in\mathbb{R}$ and $(\xi_i)_{i\ge -1}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of normally distributed random variables, we study the persistence probabilities…

For AR(1)-processes $X_n=\rho X_{n-1}+\xi_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $\rho\in\mathbb{R}$ and $(\xi_i)_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of random variables, we study the persistence probabilities $\mathbb{P}(X_0\ge 0,\dots, X_N\ge…

We establish exact formulae for the persistence probabilities of an AR(1) sequence with symmetric uniform innovations in terms of certain families of polynomials, most notably a family introduced by Mallows and Riordan as enumerators of…

We study the probability that an AR(1) Markov chain $X_{n+1}=aX_n+\xi_{n+1}$, where $a\in(0,1)$ is a constant, stays non-negative for a long time. We find the exact asymptotics of this probability and the weak limit of $X_n$ conditioned to…

We fix $d \geq 2$ and denote $\mathcal S$ the semi-group of $d \times d$ matrices with non negative entries. We consider a sequence $(A_n, B_n)_{n \geq 1} $ of i. i. d. random variables with values in $\mathcal S\times \mathbb R_+^d$ and…

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with uniform innovations. We identify a number of regions, characterized by the location of the uniform distribution and the coupling parameter of the process,…

Let ${\bf M}=(M_1,\ldots, M_k)$ be a tuple of real $d\times d$ matrices. Under certain irreducibility assumptions, we give checkable criteria for deciding whether ${\bf M}$ possesses the following property: there exist two constants…

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

We study existence and uniqueness of invariant probability measures for continuous-time Markov processes on general state spaces. Existence is obtained from tightness of time averages under a weak regularity assumption inspired by…

We study the singular values and Lyapunov exponents of non-stationary random matrix products subject to small, absolutely continuous, additive noise. Consider a fixed sequence of matrices of bounded norm. Independently perturb the matrices…

We consider a system of independent branching random walks on $\R$ which start off a Poisson point process with intensity of the form $e_{\lambda}(du)=e^{-\lambda u}du$, where $\lambda\in\R$ is chosen in such a way that the overall…

We consider a mechanism for area preserving Hamiltonian systems which leads to the enhanced probability, $P(\lambda, t)$, to find small values of the finite time Lyapunov exponent, $\lambda$. In our investigation of chaotic dynamical…

The persistence exponent \theta for the global order parameter, M(t), of a system quenched from the disordered phase to its critical point describes the probability, p(t) \sim t^{-\theta}, that M(t) does not change sign in the time interval…

We consider a finite family of invertible $2 \times 2$ real matrices and a transitive Markov shift on the index set. Let $\lambda$ be the top Lyapunov exponent for random matrix products driven by the Markov shift. We prove that, if the…

Existence and stability properties are studied for Hawkes process, i.e. point process $S$ that has long-memory and intensity $r(t)=\lambda \big(g_0(t)+ \sum_{\tau<t, \tau \in S} h(t-\tau) \big)$. The approach to Hawkes process presented in…

Let $X_1,X_2, \ldots $ be a sequence of $i.i.d$ real (complex) $d \times d $ invertible random matrices with common distribution $\mu$ and $\sigma_1(n), \sigma_2(n), \ldots , \sigma_d(n)$ be the singular values, $\lambda_1(n), \lambda_2(n),…

Consider a real Gaussian stationary process $f_\rho$, indexed on either $\mathbb{R}$ or $\mathbb{Z}$ and admitting a spectral measure $\rho$. We study $\theta_{\rho}^\ell=-\lim\limits_{T\to\infty}\frac{1}{T}…

We prove existence of intersection exponents xi(k,lambda) for biased random walks on d-dimensional half-infinite discrete cylinders, and show that, as functions of lambda, these exponents are real analytic. As part of the argument, we prove…

Many real-world dynamics exhibit chaos, a phenomenon in which neighboring trajectories in the state space of a dynamical system diverge exponentially over time. A common measure used for quantifying the degree of this divergence is the…