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Testing between hypotheses, when independent sampling is possible, is a well developed subject. In this paper, we propose hypothesis tests that are applicable when the samples are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo. These tests are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-14 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

The traditional binary classification framework constructs classifiers which may have good accuracy, but whose false positive and false negative error rates are not under users' control. In many cases, one of the errors is more severe and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Miloš Simić

The problem of testing mutually exclusive hypotheses with dependent test statistics is considered. Bayesian and frequentist approaches to multiplicity control are studied and compared to help gain understanding as to the effect of test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Sean Chang , James O. Berger

We consider selecting the top-$m$ alternatives from a finite number of alternatives via Monte Carlo simulation. Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the sampling decision as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, and develop a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Jianghua Zhang , Enlu Zhou

Simultaneous statistical inference has been a cornerstone in the statistics methodology literature because of its fundamental theory and paramount applications. The mainstream multiple testing literature has traditionally considered two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Monitirtha Dey , Subir Kumar Bhandari

We study sequential testing for a binary disease outcome when risk follows an unknown logistic model. At each round, the decision maker may either pay for a test revealing the true label or predict the outcome based on patient features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Tavor Z. Baharav , Spyros Dragazis , Aldo Pacchiano

The partial conjunction null hypothesis is tested in order to discover a signal that is present in multiple studies. The standard approach of carrying out a multiple test procedure on the partial conjunction (PC) $p$-values can be extremely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Thorsten Dickhaus , Ruth Heller , Anh-Tuan Hoang , Yosef Rinott

Consider the problem of simultaneously testing null hypotheses H_1,...,H_s. The usual approach to dealing with the multiplicity problem is to restrict attention to procedures that control the familywise error rate (FWER), the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 E. L. Lehmann , Joseph P. Romano

The graph based approach to multiple testing is an intuitive method that enables a study team to represent clearly, through a directed graph, its priorities for hierarchical testing of multiple hypotheses, and for propagating the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Cyrus Mehta , Ajoy Mukhopadhyay , Martin Posch

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Standard multiple testing procedures are designed to report a list of discoveries, or suspected false null hypotheses, given the hypotheses' p-values or test scores. Recently there has been a growing interest in enhancing such procedures by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jack Freestone , William Stafford Noble , Uri Keich

It is frequently of interest to jointly analyze multiple sequences of multiple tests in order to identify simultaneous signals, defined as features tested in multiple studies whose test statistics are non-null in each. In many problems,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Sihai Dave Zhao , Yet Tien Nguyen

Given a large matrix containing independent data entries, we consider the problem of detecting a submatrix inside the data matrix that contains larger-than-usual values. Different from previous literature, we do not have exact information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Yuchao Liu , Jiaqi Guo

The $\gamma$-FDP and $k$-FWER multiple testing error metrics, which are tail probabilities of the respective error statistics, have become popular recently as less-stringent alternatives to the FDR and FWER. We propose general and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Jay Bartroff

Online testing procedures aim to control the extent of false discoveries over a sequence of hypothesis tests, allowing for the possibility that early-stage test results influence the choice of hypotheses to be tested in later stages.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Aaron Fisher

In multiple testing scenarios, typically the sign of a parameter is inferred when its estimate exceeds some significance threshold in absolute value. Typically, the significance threshold is chosen to control the experimentwise type I error…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-03 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

The two-trials rule for drug approval requires "at least two adequate and well-controlled studies, each convincing on its own, to establish effectiveness". This is usually implemented by requiring two significant pivotal trials and is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Leonhard Held

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

In research on eye movements in reading, it is common to analyze a number of canonical dependent measures to study how the effects of a manipulation unfold over time. Although this gives rise to the well-known multiple comparisons problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Titus von der Malsburg , Bernhard Angele
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