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We study functional central limit theorems for persistent Betti numbers obtained from networks defined on a Poisson point process. The limit is formed in large volumes of cylindrical shape stretching only in one dimension. The results cover…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Johannes Krebs , Christian Hirsch

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

We prove functional limit theorems for dynamical systems in the presence of clusters of large values which, when summed and suitably normalised, get collapsed in a jump of the limiting process observed at the same time point. To keep track…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We investigate the sensitivity of epidemic behavior to a bounded susceptibility constraint -- susceptible nodes are infected by their neighbors via the regular SI/SIS dynamics, but subject to a cap on the infection rate. Such a constraint…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Subhashini Krishnasamy , Siddhartha Banerjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

Deterministic rate equations are widely used in the study of stochastic, interacting particles systems. This approach assumes that the inherent noise, associated with the discreteness of the elementary constituents, may be neglected when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-26 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

This paper provides a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for a process $\{\theta_n, n\geq 0\}$ satisfying a stochastic approximation (SA) equation of the form $\theta_{n+1} = \theta_n + \gamma_{n+1} H(\theta_n,X_{n+1})$; a CLT for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Gersende Fort

We study a simple case of the susceptible-weakened-infected-removed model in regular random graphs in a situation where an epidemic starts from a finite fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds). Previous studies have shown that,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

We establish limit theorems involving weak convergence of multiple generations of critical and supercritical branching processes. These results arise naturally when dealing with the joint asymptotic behavior of functionals defined in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-25 James Kuelbs , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We present a novel approach to the study of epidemics on networks as thermodynamic phenomena, considering the thermodynamic efficiency of contagions, considered as distributed computational processes. Modelling SIS dynamics on a contact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-24 Nathan Harding , Ramil Nigmatullin , Mikhail Prokopenko

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of networks that are locally tree-like, which includes sparse…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Juniper Cocomello , Kavita Ramanan

The susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) epidemic process on complex networks can show metastability, resembling an endemic equilibrium. In a general setting, the metastable state may involve a large portion of the network, or it can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-03 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Caterina Scoglio

We establish a new class of functional central limit theorems for partial sum of certain symmetric stationary infinitely divisible processes with regularly varying L\'{e}vy measures. The limit process is a new class of symmetric stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider an individual-based SIR stochastic epidemic model in continuous space. The evolution of the epidemic involves the rates of infection and cure of individuals. We assume that individuals move randomly on the two-dimensional torus…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Samuel Bowong Tsakou , Alphonse Emakoua , Etienne Pardoux

We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Le Chen , Davar Khoshnevisan , David Nualart , Fei Pu

This paper is concerned with the growth rate of SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemics with general infectious period distribution on random intersection graphs. This type of graph is characterized by the presence of cliques…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Carolina Fransson

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

We investigate local-density dependent Markov processes on a class of large graphs sampled from a graphon, where the transition rates of the vertices are influenced by the states of their neighbors. We show that as the average degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Daniel Keliger , Illes Horvath , Balint Takacs

Drees and Rootz\'en [2010] have proven central limit theorems (CLT) for empirical processes of extreme values cluster functionals built from $\beta$-mixing processes. The problem with this family of $\beta$-mixing processes is that it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 José Gregorio Gómez

We prove a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for the number of points $N(J)$ in a region $J$ in $\mathbb R^d$ specified by a determinantal point process with an Hermitian kernel. The only assumption is that the variance of $N(J)$ tends to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Peter J. Forrester , Joel L. Lebowitz