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We introduce a method for performing a robust Bayesian analysis of non-Gaussianity present in pulsar timing data, simultaneously with the pulsar timing model, and additional stochastic parameters such as those describing red spin noise and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-19 Lindley Lentati , Michael P. Hobson , Paul Alexander

In previous works, Bardina and Rovira (2023) constructed a family of processes that converge strongly towards Brownian motion, defined from renewal processes, are constructed. In this paper we prove that some of these processes can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Xavier Bardina , Salim Boukfal , Marc Cano , Carles Rovira

For $x\in R^d- \{0\}$, in dimension $d=3$, we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time $L_t^x$ of super-Brownian motion $X$ starting from $\delta_0$ as $x \to 0$. Let $\psi(x)=((1/2\pi^2) \log (1/|x|))^{1/2}$ be a normalization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-12 Jieliang Hong

This article shortly introduces Gaussian processes (GP) as a new approach for modelling time series in the field of blazar physics. In the second part of the paper, recent results from an application of GP modelling to the multi-wavelength…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-03-08 V. Karamanavis

A continuous-time white Gaussian channel can be formulated using a white Gaussian noise, and a conventional way for examining such a channel is the sampling approach based on the Shannon-Nyquist sampling theorem, where the original…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-18 Xianming Liu , Guangyue Han

We present a general method for constructing stochastic processes with prescribed local form. Such processes include variable amplitude multifractional Brownian motion, multifractional $\alpha$-stable processes, and multistable processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-06 K. J. Falconer , J. Levy Vehel

Stochastic calculus with respect to fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has attracted a lot of interest in recent years, motivated in particular by applications in finance and Internet traffic modeling. Multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Joachim Lebovits , Jacques Lévy Vehel

We develop a timescale synthesis-based probabilistic approach for the modeling of locally stationary signals. Inspired by our previous work, the model involves zero-mean, complex Gaussian wavelet coefficients, whose distribution varies as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

Granger causality is a statistical notion of causal influence based on prediction via vector autoregression. For Gaussian variables it is equivalent to transfer entropy, an information-theoretic measure of time-directed information transfer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-17 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Tomas Scagliarini , Yuri Antonacci , Luca Faes

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We characterize all multi-dimensional real self-similar Gaussian Markov processes. Three types of covariance matrix functions occur: white-noise type functions, covariances that can be expressed by continuous matrix semigroups, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Benedict Bauer , Stefan Gerhold

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We revisit the work of Dhar and Majumdar [Phys. Rev. E 59, 6413 (1999)] on the limiting distribution of the temporal mean $M_{t}=t^{-1}\int_{0}^{t}du \sign y_{u}$, for a Gaussian Markovian process $y_{t}$ depending on a parameter $\alpha $,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 G. De Smedt , C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

We consider so-called regular invertible Gaussian Volterra processes and derive a formula for their prediction laws. Examples of such processes include the fractional Brownian motions and the mixed fractional Brownian motions. As an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-11 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

The paper investigates uniform convergence of wavelet expansions of Gaussian random processes. The convergence is obtained under simple general conditions on processes and wavelets which can be easily verified. Applications of the developed…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Yuriy Kozachenko , Andriy Olenko , Olga Polosmak

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

In this work, we propose a novel framework for large-scale Gaussian process (GP) modeling. Contrary to the global, and local approximations proposed in the literature to address the computational bottleneck with exact GP modeling, we employ…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Akhil Vakayil , Roshan Joseph

Let $\{B(t), t \geq 0\}$ be a standard Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}$. Let $T$ be the first return time to 0 after hitting 1, and $\{L(T,x), x \in \mathbb{R}\}$ be the local time process at time $T$ and level $x$. The distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-20 Krishna B. Athreya , Raoul Normand , Vivekananda Roy , Sheng-Jhih Wu