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We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

Sparse linear discriminant analysis via penalized optimal scoring is a successful tool for classification in high-dimensional settings. While the variable selection consistency of sparse optimal scoring has been established, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Irina Gaynanova

Feature selection is a critical step in the analysis of high-dimensional data, where the number of features often vastly exceeds the number of samples. Effective feature selection not only improves model performance and interpretability but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Raquel Espinosa , Gracia Sánchez , José Palma , Fernando Jiménez

In this article we propose a new variable selection method for analyzing data collected from longitudinal sample surveys. The procedure is based on the survey-weighted quadratic inference function, which was recently introduced as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Laura Dumitrescu , Wei Qian , J. N. K. Rao

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

Lasso and other regularization procedures are attractive methods for variable selection, subject to a proper choice of shrinkage parameter. Given a set of potential subsets produced by a regularization algorithm, a consistent model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Minh-Ngoc Tran

In this paper we develop a unified approach for solving a wide class of sequential selection problems. This class includes, but is not limited to, selection problems with no-information, rank-dependent rewards, and considers both fixed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Alexander Goldenshluger , Yaakov Malinovsky , Assaf Zeevi

We investigate an application in the automatic tuning of computer codes, an area of research that has come to prominence alongside the recent rise of distributed scientific processing and heterogeneity in high-performance computing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Stefan M. Wild

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

The variance of the concentration in a sample can be estimated using knowledge of the particle masses, concentrations and the parameter for the dependent selection of particles. A number of variance estimators are constructed including a…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-18 B. Geelhoed

The model interpretation is essential in many application scenarios and to build a classification model with a ease of model interpretation may provide useful information for further studies and improvement. It is common to encounter with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Wan-Ping Nicole Chen , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Martin Jankowiak

Varying coefficient models have numerous applications in a wide scope of scientific areas. While enjoying nice interpretability, they also allow flexibility in modeling dynamic impacts of the covariates. But, in the new era of big data, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-27 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jin-Ting Zhang

In many applied fields incomplete covariate vectors are commonly encountered. It is well known that this can be problematic when making inference on model parameters, but its impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , Peter Müller

We propose a robust variable selection procedure using a divergence based M-estimator combined with a penalty function. It produces robust estimates of the regression parameters and simultaneously selects the important explanatory…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abhijit Mandal , Samiran Ghosh

Selectivity estimation aims at estimating the number of database objects that satisfy a selection criterion. Answering this problem accurately and efficiently is essential to many applications, such as density estimation, outlier detection,…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Rui Mao , Onizuka Makoto , Wei Wang , Rui Zhang , Yoshiharu Ishikawa

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

Analysis of high-dimensional data is currently a popular field of research, thanks to many applications e.g. in genetics (DNA data in genomewide association studies), spectrometry or web analysis. At the same time, the type of problems that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Jozef Jakubik
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