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This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

The multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD), also known as the multivariate exponential power (MEP) distribution, is widely used in signal and image processing. However, estimating MGGD parameters, which is required in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-13 Nora Ouzir , Frédéric Pascal , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is well-known to be susceptible to outliers. Robust process regression models based on t-process or other heavy-tailed processes have been developed to address the problem. However, due to the nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Wang Zhanfeng , Noh Maengseok , Lee Youngjo , Shi Jianqing

We propose a method (TT-GP) for approximate inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. We build on previous scalable GP research including stochastic variational inference based on inducing inputs, kernel interpolation, and structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-18 Pavel Izmailov , Alexander Novikov , Dmitry Kropotov

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is an important type of supervised machine learning model with inherent uncertainty measure in its predictions. We propose a new framework, nuGPR, to address the well-known challenge of high computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Ziqi Zhao , Vivek Sarin

The accurate prediction of the two-phase heat transfer coefficient (HTC) as a function of working fluids, channel geometries and process conditions is key to the optimal design and operation of compact heat exchangers. Advances in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-31 Tullio Traverso , Francesco Coletti , Luca Magri , Tassos G. Karayiannis , Omar K. Matar

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

A multi-output Gaussian process (GP) is introduced as a model for the joint posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of set of models and/or experts, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-10 Alexandre K. W. Navarro , Jes Frellsen , Richard E. Turner

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been a well-known machine learning method for various applications such as uncertainty quantifications (UQ). However, GPR is inherently a data-driven method, which requires sufficiently large dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Cheng Chang , Tieyong Zeng

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Modal analysis has become an essential tool to understand the coherent structure of complex flows. The classical modal analysis methods, such as dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) and spectral proper orthogonal decomposition (SPOD), rely on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-21 Jiwoo Song , Daning Huang

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen