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We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Novel method of reconstructing dynamical networks from empirically measured time series is proposed. By examining the variable--derivative correlation of network node pairs, we derive a simple equation that directly yields the adjacency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-09 Zoran Levnajić

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

In the field of autonomous systems, accurately predicting the trajectories of nearby vehicles and pedestrians is crucial for ensuring both safety and operational efficiency. This paper introduces a novel methodology for trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Yu Zhang , Yongxiang Zou , Haoyu Zhang , Zeyu Liu , Houcheng Li , Long Cheng

The use of complex networks for time series analysis has recently shown to be useful as a tool for detecting dynamic state changes for a wide variety of applications. In this work, we implement the commonly used ordinal partition network to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-21 Audun Myers , Firas Khasawneh

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

The central theme of complex systems research is understanding the emergent macroscopic properties of a system from the interplay of its microscopic constituents. Here, we ask what conditions a complex network of microscopic dynamical units…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anne-Ly Do , Stefano Boccaletti , Jeremias Epperlein , Stefan Siegmund , Thilo Gross

With the advancement of sensing and communication in power networks, high-frequency real-time data from a power network can be used as a resource to develop better monitoring capabilities. In this work, a systematic approach based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Subhrajit Sinha , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Enoch Yeung

Power system state estimation plays a fundamental and critical role in the energy management system (EMS). To achieve a high performance and accurate system states estimation, a graph computing based distributed state estimation approach is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Yi Lu , Chen Yuan , Xiang Zhang , Hua Huang , Guangyi Liu , Renchang Dai , Zhiwei Wang

Using Bayesian experimental design techniques, we have shown that for a single two-level quantum mechanical system under strong (projective) measurement, the dynamical parameters of a model Hamiltonian can be estimated with exponentially…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory

Latent space models are popular for analyzing dynamic network data. We propose a variational approach to estimate the model parameters as well as the latent positions of the nodes in the network. The variational approach is much faster than…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Yan Liu , Yuguo Chen

Quantifying interaction strengths between state variables in dynamical systems is essential for understanding ecological networks. Within the empirical dynamic modeling approach, multivariate S-map infers the interaction Jacobian from time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-15 Takeshi Miki , Chun-Wei Chang , Po-Ju Ke , Arndt Telschow , Cheng-Han Tsai , Masayuki Ushio , Chih-hao Hsieh

This paper presents a generic motion model to capture mobile robots' dynamic behaviors (translation and rotation). The model is based on statistical models driven by white random processes and is formulated into a full state estimation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Wei Xu , Dongjiao He , Yixi Cai , Fu Zhang

This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Dandan Luo , Yunmin Zhu

Significant efforts have gone into the development of statistical models for analyzing data in the form of networks, such as social networks. Most existing work has focused on modeling static networks, which represent either a single time…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Kevin S. Xu , Alfred O. Hero

The precise knowledge regarding the state of the power grid is important in order to ensure optimal and reliable grid operation. Specifically, knowing the state of the distribution grid becomes increasingly important as more renewable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Jonatan Ostrometzky , Konstantin Berestizshevsky , Andrey Bernstein , Gil Zussman

This paper proposes a data-driven approach to detect the switching actions and topology transitions in distribution networks. It is based on the real time analysis of time-series voltages measurements. The analysis approach draws on data…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Guido Cavraro , Reza Arghandeh , Alexandra von Meier , Kameshwar Poolla

This paper introduces an innovative method for ensuring global stability in a broad array of nonlinear systems. The novel approach enhances the traditional analysis based on Jacobian matrices by incorporating the Taylor series boundary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-07 Samaneh Alsadat Saeedinia , Mojtaba Sharifi , Seyed Mohammad Hosseindokht , Hedieh Jafarpourdavatgar

In this paper, we introduce two deterministic models aimed at capturing the dynamics of congested Internet connections. The first model is a continuous-time model that combines a system of differential equations with a sudden change in one…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ian Frommer , Eric Harder , Brian Hunt , Ryan Lance , Edward Ott , James Yorke