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We introduce a new stochastic model for the variations of asset prices at the tick-by-tick level in dimension 1 (for a single asset) and 2 (for a pair of assets). The construction is based on marked point processes and relies on linear self…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 E. Bacry , S. Delattre , M. Hoffmann , J. F. Muzy

In a closed economic system, money is conserved. Thus, by analogy with energy, the equilibrium probability distribution of money must follow the exponential Gibbs law characterized by an effective temperature equal to the average amount of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Adrian Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

The fluctuation exchange, or FLEX, approximation for interacting electrons is applied to study instabilities in the standard three-band model for CuO2 layers in the high-temperature superconductors. Both intra-orbital and near-neigbor…

Superconductivity · Physics 2009-10-30 G. Esirgen , N. E. Bickers

We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

We introduce a novel description of the dynamics of the order book of financial markets as that of an effective colloidal Brownian particle embedded in fluid particles. The analysis of a comprehensive market data enables us to identify all…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Yoshihiro Yura , Hideki Takayasu , Didier Sornette , Misako Takayasu

A new stochastic theory of a foreign exchange markets dynamics is developed. As a result we have the new probability distribution which well describes statistical and scaling dependencies ''experimentally'' observed in foreign exchange…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Nikolai Laskin

In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Giuseppe Garofalo , Alessandro Sansone

When an ensemble of particles interact hydrodynamically, they generically display large-scale transient structures such as swirls in sedimenting particles [1], or colloidal strings in sheared suspensions [2]. Understanding these…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-01-24 Nicolas Desreumaux , Jean-Baptiste Caussin , Raphael Jeanneret , Eric Lauga , Denis Bartolo

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

We investigate the behavior of systems of interacting diffusion processes, known as volatility-stabilized market models in the mathematical finance literature, when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We show that, after an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

This paper examines the dynamics of Tether, the stablecoin with the largest market capitalization. We show that the distributional and dynamic properties of Tether/USD rates have been evolving from 2017 to 2021. We use local analysis…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-03 Antoine Djobenou , Emre Inan , Joann Jasiak

Colloids have a striking relevance in a wide spectrum of industrial formulations, spanning from personal care products to protective paints. Their behaviour can be easily influenced by extremely weak forces, which disturb their…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-06-14 Daniel Corbett , Alejandro Cuetos , Matthew Dennison , Alessandro Patti

We derive generalized Fluctuation-Dissipation Relations (FDR) holding for a general stochastic dynamics that includes as subcases both equilibrium models for passive colloids and non-equilibrium models used to describe active particles. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-15 Lorenzo Caprini

A new framework for pricing the European currency option is developed in the case where the spot exchange rate fellows a time-changed fractional Brownian motion. An analytic formula for pricing European foreign currency option is proposed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Foad Shokrollahi

We empirically analyze the scaling properties of daily Foreign Exchange rates, Stock Market indices and Bond futures across different financial markets. We study the scaling behaviour of the time series by using a generalized Hurst exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , M. M. Dacorogna

We investigate the evolution of a system of colloidal particles, trapped at a fluid interface and interacting via capillary attraction, as function of the range of the capillary interaction and temperature. We address the collapse of an…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-12-13 J. Bleibel , A. Dominguez , M. Oettel , S. Dietrich