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We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

In Part II of this paper, we concentrate our analysis on the price dynamical model with the moving average rules developed in Part I of this paper. By decomposing the excessive demand function, we reveal that it is the interplay between…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Li-Xin Wang

We study the role of active coupling on the transport properties of homogeneously charged macromolecules in an infinitely dilute solution. An enzyme becomes actively bound to a segment of the macromolecule, exerting an electrostatic force…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-05-24 Tapas Singha , Siao-Fong Li , Murugappan Muthukumar

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

In the Cont-Bouchaud model [cond-mat/9712318] of stock markets, percolation clusters act as buying or selling investors and their statistics controls that of the price variations. Rather than fixing the concentration controlling each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dietrich Stauffer , D. Sornette

We combine the swap Monte Carlo algorithm to long multi-CPU molecular dynamics simulations to analyse the equilibrium relaxation dynamics of model supercooled liquids over a time window covering ten orders of magnitude for temperatures down…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-12-16 Camille Scalliet , Benjamin Guiselin , Ludovic Berthier

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Lei-Han Tang , Guang-Shan Tian

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

We analyse a one-dimensional model of hard particles, within ensembles of trajectories that are conditioned (or biased) to atypical values of the time-averaged dynamical activity. We analyse two phenomena that are associated with these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-18 Ian R. Thompson , Robert L. Jack

We consider a method of lines (MOL) approach to determine prices of European and American exchange options when underlying asset prices are modelled with stochastic volatility and jump-diffusion dynamics. As the MOL, as with any other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces , Gerald H. L. Cheang

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Luca Berardi , Maurizio Serva

A mesoscopic colloid model is developed in which a spherical colloid is represented by many interacting sites on its surface. The hydrodynamic interactions with thermal fluctuations are taken accounts in full using Dissipative Particle…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-01-16 Jiajia Zhou , Friederike Schmid

Surface effects are generally prevailing in confined colloidal systems. Here we report on dispersed nanoparticles close to a fluid membrane. Exact results regarding the static organization are derived for a dilute solution of non-adhesive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Thomas Bickel , Mabrouk Benhamou , Hamid Kaidi

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

We establish new results for estimation and inference in financial durations models, where events are observed over a given time span, such as a trading day, or a week. For the classical autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models by…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Thomas Mikosch , Anders Rahbek , Frederik Vilandt

Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential $\beta$-mixing as we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-03 Filip Zikes , Jozef Barunik , Nikhil Shenai

Coupled systems in mesoscopic regime are of interest as charge fluctuation between the sub-systems will depend on electron-electron interactions and will play a dominant role in determining their thermodynamic properties. We study some…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-09-29 P. Singha Deo , P. Koskinen , M. Manninen
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