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We introduce a new approach to probabilistic unsupervised learning based on the recognition-parametrised model (RPM): a normalised semi-parametric hypothesis class for joint distributions over observed and latent variables. Under the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 William I. Walker , Hugo Soulat , Changmin Yu , Maneesh Sahani

In healthcare applications, predictive uncertainty has been used to assess predictive accuracy. In this paper, we demonstrate that predictive uncertainty estimated by the current methods does not highly correlate with prediction error by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Shi Hu , Nicola Pezzotti , Max Welling

As with many other problems, real-world regression is plagued by the presence of noisy labels, an inevitable issue that demands our attention. Fortunately, much real-world data often exhibits an intrinsic property of continuously ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Chris Dongjoo Kim , Sangwoo Moon , Jihwan Moon , Dongyeon Woo , Gunhee Kim

Unsupervised feature selection aims to identify a compact subset of features that captures the intrinsic structure of data without supervised label. Most existing studies evaluate the performance of methods using the single-label dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Gyu-Il Kim , Dae-Won Kim , Jaesung Lee

Aggregating signals from a collection of noisy sources is a fundamental problem in many domains including crowd-sourcing, multi-agent planning, sensor networks, signal processing, voting, ensemble learning, and federated learning. The core…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Ben Abramowitz , Nicholas Mattei

Decomposing prediction uncertainty into aleatoric (irreducible) and epistemic (reducible) components is critical for the reliable deployment of machine learning systems. While the mutual information between the response variable and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Anchit Jain , Stephen Bates

Social robots able to continually learn facial expressions could progressively improve their emotion recognition capability towards people interacting with them. Semi-supervised learning through ensemble predictions is an efficient strategy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Henrique Siqueira , Pablo Barros , Sven Magg , Stefan Wermter

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

This paper addresses a regression problem in which output label values are the results of sensing the magnitude of a phenomenon. A low value of such labels can mean either that the actual magnitude of the phenomenon was low or that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Takayuki Katsuki , Takayuki Osogami

A weakly-supervised learning framework named as complementary-label learning has been proposed recently, where each sample is equipped with a single complementary label that denotes one of the classes the sample does not belong to. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-24 Yuzhou Cao , Shuqi Liu , Yitian Xu

Despite increasing popularity in empirical studies, the integration of machine learning generated variables into regression models for statistical inference suffers from the measurement error problem, which can bias estimation and threaten…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-23 Gordon Burtch , Edward McFowland , Mochen Yang , Gediminas Adomavicius

The best subset selection (or "best subsets") estimator is a classic tool for sparse regression, and developments in mathematical optimization over the past decade have made it more computationally tractable than ever. Notwithstanding its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Ryan Thompson

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

With the rise of the popularity and usage of neural networks, trustworthy uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly essential. One of the most prominent uncertainty estimation methods is Deep Ensembles (Lakshminarayanan et al., 2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

Missing values in datasets are common in applied statistics. For regression problems, theoretical work thus far has largely considered the issue of missing covariates as distinct from missing responses. However, in practice, many datasets…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Benedict M. Risebrow , Thomas B. Berrett

Recently there has been a great deal of interest surrounding the calibration of quantum sensors using machine learning techniques. In this work, we explore the use of regression to infer a machine-learned point estimate of an unknown…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Samuel P. Nolan , Luca Pezzè , Augusto Smerzi

Regression uses supervised machine learning to find a model that combines several independent variables to predict a dependent variable based on ground truth (labeled) data, i.e., tuples of independent and dependent variables (labels).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Maria Ulan , Welf Löwe , Morgan Ericsson , Anna Wingkvist

The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is a growing statistical technique widely applied to regression problems. In essence, ELMs are single-layer neural networks where the hidden layer weights are randomly sampled from a specific distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-31 Daniela De Canditiis , Fabiano Veglianti

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

This paper considers statistical inference for the explained variance $\beta^{\intercal}\Sigma \beta$ under the high-dimensional linear model $Y=X\beta+\epsilon$ in the semi-supervised setting, where $\beta$ is the regression vector and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo