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This article relaxes the integrability condition imposed in the literature for the robust $\alpha$-stable central limit theorem under sublinear expectation. Specifically, for $\alpha \in(0,1]$, we prove that the normalized sums of i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Lianzi Jiang , Gechun Liang

We consider a field $f \circ T_1^{i_1} \circ \cdots \circ T_d^{i_d}$ where $T_1, \dots , T_d$ arecommuting transformations, one of them at least being ergodic. Considering the case of commuting filtrations, we are interested by giving…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We derive scaling limits for integral functionals of It\^o processes with fast nonlinear mean-reversion speed. We show that in these limits, the fast mean-reverting process is "averaged out" by integrating against its invariant measure.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Thomas Cayé , Martin Herdegen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

By combining different ideas, a general and efficient protocol to deal with discontinuous phase transitions at low temperatures is proposed. For small $T$'s, it is possible to derive a generic analytic expression for appropriate order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 C. E. Fiore , M. G. E. da Luz

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

In this paper, we focus on the tempered subdiffusive Black-Scholes model. The main part of our work consists of the finite difference method as a numerical approach to the option pricing in the considered model. We derive the governing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Grzegorz Krzyżanowski , Marcin Magdziarz

This paper develops the limit theory of the GARCH(1,1) process that moderately deviates from IGARCH process towards both stationary and explosive regimes. The GARCH(1,1) process is defined by equations $u_t = \sigma_t \varepsilon_t$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yubo Tao

In this paper, we obtain almost sure invariance principles with rate of order $n^{1/p}\log^\beta n$, $2< p\le 4$, for sums associated to a sequence of reverse martingale differences. Then, we apply those results to obtain similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevede

This paper considers a class of nonautonomous slow-fast stochastic partial differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable processes for $\alpha\in (1,2)$. By introducing the evolution system of measures, we establish an averaging…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Yueling Li , Xiaobin Sun , Zijuan Wang , Yingchao Xie

We consider the standard thermodynamic processes with constraints, but with additional uncertainty about the control parameters. Motivated by inductive reasoning, we assign prior distribution that provides a rational guess about likely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-03 Preety Aneja , Ramandeep S. Johal

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

This work explores the use of a forward-backward martingale method together with a decoupling argument and entropic estimates between the conditional and averaged measures to prove a strong averaging principle for stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-18 Bob Pepin

We develop the first exact and computationally tractable method for simulating from tempered stable distributions in the infinite variation case, which corresponds to $\alpha\in[1,2)$. A small simulation study shows that the approach works…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Michael Grabchak

In this paper we study the forward integral of operator-valued processes with respect to a cylindrical Brownian motion. In particular, we provide conditions under which the approximating sequence of processes of the forward integral,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Matthijs Pronk , Mark Veraar

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

Fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average (FIARMA) processes have been widely and successfully used to model and predict univariate time series exhibiting long range dependence. Vector and functional extensions of these…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Amaury Durand , François Roueff

We study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating integer-valued autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration, we establish the almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Vassili Blandin