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We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Jakub Prüher , Filip Tronarp , Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä , Ondřej Straka

The theory of Bayesian learning incorporates the use of Student-t Processes to model heavy-tailed distributions and datasets with outliers. However, despite Student-t Processes having a similar computational complexity as Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jian Xu , Delu Zeng

Koopman spectral analysis plays a crucial role in understanding and modeling nonlinear dynamical systems as it reveals key system behaviors and long-term dynamics. However, the presence of measurement noise poses a significant challenge to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Zhexuan Zeng , Jun Zhou , Yasen Wang , Zuowei Ping

This paper deals with the filtering problem for a class of discrete time stochastic volatility models in which the disturbances have rational probability density functions. This includes the Cauchy distributions and Student t-distributions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Bernard Hanzon , Wolfgang Scherrer

Smoothing classifiers and probability density functions with Gaussian kernels appear unrelated, but in this work, they are unified for the problem of robust classification. The key building block is approximating the $\textit{energy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Saeed Saremi , Rupesh Srivastava

This paper presents a method for calculating the smoothed state distribution for Jump Markov Linear Systems. More specifically, the paper details a novel two-filter smoother that provides closed-form expressions for the smoothed hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

This paper studies the distributed state estimation in sensor network, where $m$ sensors are deployed to infer the $n$-dimensional state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By a lossless decomposition of optimal steady-state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-22 Jiaqi Yan , Xu Yang , Yilin Mo , Keyou You

Kalman Filters (KF) are fundamental to real-time state estimation applications, including radar-based tracking systems used in modern driver assistance and safety technologies. In a linear dynamical system with Gaussian noise distributions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Arian Mehrfard , Bharanidhar Duraisamy , Stefan Haag , Florian Geiss

Particle smoothing enables state estimation in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models, but its practical use is often limited by high computational cost. Backward smoothing methods such as the Forward Filter Backward Smoother (FFBS)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Genshiro Kitagawa

Fueled by applications in sensor networks, these years have witnessed a surge of interest in distributed estimation and filtering. A new approach is hereby proposed for the Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) by integrating a local covariance…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-17 Ye Yuan , Ling Shi , Jun Liu , Zhiyong Chen , Hai-Tao Zhang , Jorge Goncalves

Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

We propose analytical mean square error (MSE) expressions for the Kalman filter (KF) and the Kalman smoother (KS) for benchmark studies, where the true system dynamics are unknown or unavailable to the estimator. In such cases, as in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Batin Kurt , Umut Orguner

Reliable state estimation is essential for autonomous systems operating in complex, noisy environments. Classical filtering approaches, such as the Kalman filter, can struggle when facing nonlinear dynamics or non-Gaussian noise, and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Wonjin Song , Feng Bao

A prevalent problem in general state space models is the approximation of the smoothing distribution of a state conditional on the observations from the past, the present, and the future. The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Thi Ngoc Minh Nguyen , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines

The Kalman filter (KF) provides optimal recursive state estimates for linear-Gaussian systems and underpins applications in control, signal processing, and others. However, it is vulnerable to outliers in the measurements and process noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-02 Alan Yang , Stephen Boyd

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij