English
Related papers

Related papers: On Structured Prediction Theory with Calibrated Co…

200 papers

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Area under ROC (AUC) is an important metric for binary classification and bipartite ranking problems. However, it is difficult to directly optimizing AUC as a learning objective, so most existing algorithms are based on optimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Siwei Lyu , Yiming Ying

We study the statistical properties of learning to defer (L2D) to multiple experts. In particular, we address the open problems of deriving a consistent surrogate loss, confidence calibration, and principled ensembling of experts. Firstly,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Rajeev Verma , Daniel Barrejón , Eric Nalisnick

For large uncertain systems, solving model predictive control problems online can be computationally taxing. Using a shorter prediction horizon can help, but may lead to poor performance and instability without appropriate modifications.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 E. M. Turan , Z. Mdoe , J. Jäschke

We present a new active learning framework for multiclass classification based on surrogate risk minimization that operates beyond the standard realizability assumption. Existing surrogate-based active learning algorithms crucially rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Atul Ganju , Shashaank Aiyer , Ved Sriraman , Karthik Sridharan

We propose a new methodology for parameterized constrained robust optimization, an important class of optimization problems under uncertainty, based on learning with a self-supervised penalty-based loss function. Whereas supervised learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Wyame Benslimane , Paul Grigas

Uncertainty estimation in machine learning has traditionally focused on the prediction stage, aiming to quantify confidence in model outputs while treating learned representations as deterministic and reliable by default. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Yiyao Yang

Prediction+optimization is a common real-world paradigm where we have to predict problem parameters before solving the optimization problem. However, the criteria by which the prediction model is trained are often inconsistent with the goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Kai Yan , Jie Yan , Chuan Luo , Liting Chen , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang

We propose a learning framework for calibrating predictive models to make loss-controlling prediction for exchangeable data, which extends our recently proposed conformal loss-controlling prediction for more general cases. By comparison,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Junzhi Shi , Pingping Wang , Shuo Zhuang , Hongyue Li

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Topological loss based on persistent homology has shown promise in various applications. A topological loss enforces the model to achieve certain desired topological property. Despite its empirical success, less is known about the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Yikai Zhang , Jiachen Yao , Yusu Wang , Chao Chen

Learning-to-Defer routes each input to the expert that minimizes expected cost, but it assumes that the information available to every expert is fixed at decision time. Many modern systems violate this assumption: after selecting an expert,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Yannis Montreuil , Leïna Montreuil , Axel Carlier , Lai Xing Ng , Wei Tsang Ooi

Variety of machine learning problems can be formulated as an optimization task for some (surrogate) loss function. Calculation of loss function can be viewed in terms of stochastic computation graphs (SCG). We use this formalism to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Eugene Golikov , Vlad Zhukov , Maksim Kretov

Prediction models are often employed in estimating parameters of optimization models. Despite the fact that in an end-to-end view, the real goal is to achieve good optimization performance, the prediction performance is measured on its own.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan

This paper studies online structured prediction with full-information feedback. For online multiclass classification, Van der Hoeven (2020) established \emph{finite} surrogate regret bounds, which are independent of the time horizon, by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Shinsaku Sakaue , Han Bao , Taira Tsuchiya , Taihei Oki

Contrastive representation learning encourages data representation to make semantically similar pairs closer than randomly drawn negative samples, which has been successful in various domains such as vision, language, and graphs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Han Bao , Yoshihiro Nagano , Kento Nozawa

We study the generation of prediction intervals in regression for uncertainty quantification. This task can be formalized as an empirical constrained optimization problem that minimizes the average interval width while maintaining the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-01 Haoxian Chen , Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Haofeng Zhang

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

The generalized assignment problem with routing constraints, e.g. the vehicle routing problem, has essential practical relevance. This paper focuses on addressing the complexities of the problem by learning a surrogate model with reduced…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Sen Xue , Chuanhou Gao

To address the uncertainty in function types, recent progress in online convex optimization (OCO) has spurred the development of universal algorithms that simultaneously attain minimax rates for multiple types of convex functions. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Wenhao Yang , Yibo Wang , Peng Zhao , Lijun Zhang