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We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Shohei Nakajima

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

The double Heston model is one of the most popular option pricing models in financial theory. It is applied to several issues such that risk management and volatility surface calibration. This paper deals with the problem of global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a class of small-noise diffusions driven by fractional Brownian motion, with random starting points. Different scalings allow for different asymptotic properties of the process (small-time and tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 B. Horvath , A. Jacquier , C. Lacombe

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

We consider a multidimensional diffusion X with drift coefficient b({\alpha},X(t)) and diffusion coefficient {\epsilon}{\sigma}({\beta},X(t)). The diffusion is discretely observed at times t_k=k{\Delta} for k=1..n on a fixed interval [0,T].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Romain Guy , Catherine Laredo , Elisabeta Vergu

A particle with internal unobserved states diffusing in a force field will generally display effective advection-diffusion. The drift velocity is proportional to the mobility averaged over the internal states, or effective mobility, while…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-13 Erik Aurell , Stefano Bo

We develop several statistical tests of the determinant of the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation, based on discrete observations on a time interval $[0,T]$ sampled with a time step $\Delta$. Our main contribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Anna Melnykova , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Adeline Samson

We introduce a simple model of deterministic particles in weakly disordered media which exhibits a transition from normal to anomalous diffusion. The model consists of a set of non-interacting overdamped particles moving on a disordered…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-04-26 M. Hidalgo-Soria , R. Salgado-García

If X and Y are real valued random variables such that the first moments of X, Y, and XY exist and the conditional expectation of Y given X is an affine function of X, then the intercept and slope of the conditional expectation equal the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-06 Rajeshwari Majumdar

We derive the strong consistency of the least squares estimator for the drift coefficient of a fractional stochastic differential system. The drift coeffcient is one-sided dissipative Lipschitz and the driving noise is additive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

The most common way of estimating the anomalous diffusion exponent from single-particle trajectories consists in a linear fitting of the dependence of the time averaged mean square displacement on the lag time at the log-log scale. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-01-02 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov , Grzegorz Sikora , Aleksandra Grzesiek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We prove the local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) property for a family of probability measures defined by parametrized diffusion processes with nonsynchronous observations. We assume that observation times of processes are independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Teppei Ogihara

In this note we develop a prelimit analysis of performance measures for importance sampling schemes related to small noise diffusion processes. In importance sampling the performance of any change of measure is characterized by its second…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We study a least square-type estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise of Hurst parameter H>1/2. The estimator is based on discrete time observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Andreas Neuenkirch , Samy Tindel

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

Subcritical catalytic branching random walk on d-dimensional lattice is studied. New theorems concerning the asymptotic behavior of distributions of local particles numbers are established. To prove the results different approaches are used…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya