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In this note we first consider local times of random walks killed at leaving positive half-axis. We prove that the distribution of the properly rescaled local time at point $N$ conditioned on being positive converges towards an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We derive sharp probability bounds on the tails of a product of symmetric non-negative random variables using only information about their first two moments. If the covariance matrix of the random variables is known exactly, these bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-19 Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

We prove some general results about the asymptotics of the distribution of the number of cycles of given length of a random permutation whose distribution is invariant under conjugation. These results were first established to be applied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Florent Benaych-Georges

We show the equivalence of three properties for an infinitely divisible distribution: the subexponentiality of the density, the subexponentiality of the density of its L\'evy measure and the tail equivalence between the density and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Muneya Matsui

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

We consider a two dimensional reflecting random walk on the nonnegative integer quadrant. This random walk is assumed to be skip free in the direction to the boundary of the quadrant, but may have unbounded jumps in the opposite direction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

Let $(\xi_1, \eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ be independent identically distributed $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued random vectors. We prove a strong law of large numbers, a functional central limit theorem and a law of the iterated logarithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Alexander Iksanov , Anatolii Nikitin , Igor Samoilenko

Let $G$ be a finitely generated group equipped with a finite symmetric generating set and the associated word length function $|\cdot |$. We study the behavior of the probability of return for random walks driven by symmetric measures $\mu$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-26 Laurent Saloff-Coste , Tianyi Zheng

Let (X,Y) be a bivariate elliptical random vector with associated random radius in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction. In this paper we obtain a second order asymptotic expansion of the joint survival probability P(X > x, Y> y) for x,y…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-15 Enkelejd Hashorva

The paper is devoted to infinite Bernoulli convolutions generated by positive multigeometric series and to probability distributions of random variables whose digits in an even integer base-$s$ expansion with two redundant digits form a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Mykola Pratsiovytyi , Dmytro Karvatskyi , Oleg Makarchuk

In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

We consider random walks on the line given by a sequence of independent identically distributed jumps belonging to the strict domain of attraction of a stable distribution, and first determine the almost sure exponential divergence rate, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Francoise Pene , Benoît Saussol , Roland Zweimüller

Symmetric random walks in $R^d$ and $Z^d$ are considered. It is assumed that the jump distribution density has moderate tails, i.e., several density moments are finite, including the second one. The global (for all $x$ and $t$) asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

In this work we investigate the asymptotic behaviour of weighted partial sums of a particular class of random variables related to Oppenheim series expansions. More precisely, we verify convergence in probability as well as almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Rita Giuliano , Milto Hadjikyriakou

A probability distribution is n-divisible if its nth convolution root exists. While modeling the dependence structure between several (re)insurance losses by an additive risk factor model, the infinite divisibility, that is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Oskar Laverny , Alessandro Ferriero , Ecaterina Nisipasu

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two independent random variables with corresponding distributions $F$ and $G$ supported on $[0,\infty)$. The distribution of the product $XY$, which is called the product convolution of $F$ and $G$, is denoted by $H$. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Zhaolei Cui , Guancheng Jiang , Yuebao Wang

We study the asymptotics for the maximum on a random time interval of a random walk with a long-tailed distribution of its increments and negative drift. We extend to a general stopping time a result by Asmussen (1998), simplify its proof,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary