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Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

The study of the dynamic relationship between topological structure of a transit network and the mobility patterns of transit vehicles on this network is critical towardsdevising smart and time-aware solutions to transit management and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-03-22 Ikechukwu Maduako , Emerson Cavalheri , Monica Wachowicz

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Many tasks in graph machine learning, such as link prediction and node classification, are typically solved by using representation learning, in which each node or edge in the network is encoded via an embedding. Though there exists a lot…

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Analyzing large-scale time-series network data, such as social media and email communications, poses a significant challenge in understanding social dynamics, detecting anomalies, and predicting trends. In particular, the scalability of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Cencheng Shen , Jonathan Larson , Ha Trinh , Xihan Qin , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

Graph-based models form a fundamental aspect of data representation in Data Sciences and play a key role in modeling complex networked systems. In particular, recently there is an ever-increasing interest in modeling dynamic complex…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Klaus Wehmuth , Artur Ziviani , Eric Fleury

Research on link prediction in knowledge graphs has mainly focused on static multi-relational data. In this work we consider temporal knowledge graphs where relations between entities may only hold for a time interval or a specific point in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Alberto García-Durán , Sebastijan Dumančić , Mathias Niepert

We consider the problem of inferring the functional connectivity of a large-scale computer network from sparse time series of events emitted by its nodes. We do so under the following three domain-specific constraints: (a) non-stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Antoine Messager , George Parisis , Istvan Z Kiss , Robert Harper , Phil Tee , Luc Berthouze

Time-varying networks describe a wide array of systems whose constituents and interactions evolve over time. They are defined by an ordered stream of interactions between nodes, yet they are often represented in terms of a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-23 Bruno Ribeiro , Nicola Perra , Andrea Baronchelli

Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a critical task with applications in diverse domains such as social networks, recommendation systems, and e-commerce platforms. While existing Temporal Graph Neural Networks (T-GNNs) have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Haoyang Li , Yuming Xu , Yiming Li , Hanmo Liu , Darian Li , Chen Jason Zhang , Lei Chen , Qing Li

This paper presents an estimation method for time-varying graph signals among multiple sub-networks. In many sensor networks, signals observed are associated with nodes (i.e., sensors), and edges of the network represent the inter-node…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-18 Tsutahiro Fukuhara , Junya Hara , Hiroshi Higashi , Yuichi Tanaka

We consider the inverse Ising problem, i.e. the inference of network couplings from observed spin trajectories for a model with continuous time Glauber dynamics. By introducing two sets of auxiliary latent random variables we render the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-22 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Temporal graph representation learning (TGRL) is essential for modeling dynamic systems in real-world networks. However, traditional TGRL methods, despite their effectiveness, often face significant computational challenges and inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Yuhong Luo , Pan Li

Motivated by the problem of inferring the graph structure of functional connectivity networks from multi-level functional magnetic resonance imaging data, we develop a valid inference framework for high-dimensional graphical models that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Kun Yue , Eardi Lila , Ali Shojaie
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