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We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

This paper proposes a valid bootstrap-based distributional approximation for M-estimators exhibiting a Chernoff (1964)-type limiting distribution. For estimators of this kind, the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

In this thesis, we introduce new tools for the conformal bootstrap, autoboot and qboot. Each tool solves a different step in the whole computational stack, and combined with an existing efficient tool SDPB which solves semidefinite…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-06-09 Mocho Go

We consider bootstrap inference for estimators which are (asymptotically) biased. We show that, even when the bias term cannot be consistently estimated, valid inference can be obtained by proper implementations of the bootstrap.…

Let $X$ be a mean zero Gaussian random vector in a separable Hilbert space ${\mathbb H}$ with covariance operator $\Sigma:={\mathbb E}(X\otimes X).$ Let $\Sigma=\sum_{r\geq 1}\mu_r P_r$ be the spectral decomposition of $\Sigma$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Karim Lounici

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We consider the properties of the bootstrap as a tool for inference concerning the eigenvalues of a sample covariance matrix computed from an $n\times p$ data matrix $X$. We focus on the modern framework where $p/n$ is not close to 0 but…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 Noureddine El Karoui , Elizabeth Purdom

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Obtaining accurate estimates of machine learning model uncertainties on newly predicted data is essential for understanding the accuracy of the model and whether its predictions can be trusted. A common approach to such uncertainty…

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Estimating nonlinear functionals of probability distributions from samples is a fundamental statistical problem. The "plug-in" estimator obtained by applying the target functional to the empirical distribution of samples is biased.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Florian Schäfer

Violation of the assumptions underlying classical (Gaussian) limit theory often yields unreliable statistical inference. This paper shows that the bootstrap can detect such violations by delivering simple and powerful diagnostic tests that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca Fanelli , Iliyan Georgiev

In this paper, we propose to construct confidence bands by bootstrapping the debiased kernel density estimator (for density estimation) and the debiased local polynomial regression estimator (for regression analysis). The idea of using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-06 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

The role played by the composite analogue of the log likelihood ratio in hypothesis testing and in setting confidence regions is not as prominent as it is in the canonical likelihood setting, since its asymptotic distribution depends on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-30 Nicola Lunardon

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Scientific imaging problems are often severely ill-posed, and hence have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Accurately quantifying the uncertainty in the solutions to such problems is therefore critical for the rigorous interpretation of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Julian Tachella , Marcelo Pereyra

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu